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<body lang=3DEN-US link=3Dblue vlink=3Dpurple style=3D'tab-interval:.5in'>

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<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt'>2-16-10_MHT_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-prime_morgages_=
cds_cdos_material_misstatements_financial_services_industry_bank.htm
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'mso-b=
idi-font-size:
9.0pt'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Int. J. Economics and
Accounting, Vol. X, No. Y, xxxx </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Arial-BoldMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-=
font-family:
Arial-BoldMT'>Uncooking the books from toxic paper sub-prime mortgages CDS =
and
CSOs material misstatements of the financial services industry: </span></b>=
<u><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";mso-fareast=
-font-family:
"Times New Roman";background:aqua;mso-highlight:aqua'>crisis <b><span
style=3D'mso-font-kerning:18.0pt'>challenges </span></b>&amp; counter party
surveillance of collateralised debt obligations &amp; off-shore tax havens =
</span></u><u><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";mso-fareast=
-font-family:
"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span=
></u></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Arial-BoldMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-=
font-family:
Arial-BoldMT;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></spa=
n></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Arial-BoldMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-=
font-family:
Arial-BoldMT;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>New References:<o:p></=
o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"Arial-BoldMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-=
font-family:
Arial-BoldMT;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></spa=
n></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-hyphenate:none;tab-stops:-.5in;text-autospace:none'><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yell=
ow'>Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Offshore Internet Web Server, e-Commerce, and
Taxation: Reducing Legal Liabilities&#8221;, </span><span style=3D'font-siz=
e:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
color:black;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow;mso-bidi-font-weight:bol=
d'>International
Tax planning, Anti-Money Laundering and Compliance Conference - Miami Beach,
Florida, May, 2002.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-hyphenate:none;tab-stops:-.5in;text-autospace:none'><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yell=
ow'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-hyphenate:none;tab-stops:-.5in;text-autospace:none'><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yell=
ow'>Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Computer Security and Accounting Information
Systems: Updates and Challenges&#8221;, </span><span style=3D'font-size:10.=
0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:b=
lack;
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold'>Internati=
onal
Tax planning, Anti-Money Laundering and Compliance Conference - Miami Beach,
Florida, May, 2002.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-hyphenate:none;tab-stops:-.5in;text-autospace:none'><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yell=
ow'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-hyphenate:none;tab-stops:-.5in;text-autospace:none'><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yell=
ow'>Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Forensic Accounting and Computer Forensics:
Implications for Offshore Companies&#8221;, </span><span style=3D'font-size=
:10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:b=
lack;
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold'>Internati=
onal
Tax planning, Anti-Money Laundering and Compliance Conference - Miami Beach,
Florida, May, 2002.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt=
:auto;
text-align:justify;line-height:normal;mso-hyphenate:none;tab-stops:-.5in;
text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.=
0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bid=
i-font-family:
"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow;mso-bidi-font-weig=
ht:
bold'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;DVD Technology: Academic &amp;
Professional Productivity Tutorial &amp; Workshop&#8221; ICPQR (</span><span
style=3D'background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>International Conference on
Productivity and Quality Research)</span><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;
mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:
"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;
mso-highlight:yellow;mso-bidi-font-weight:bold'> 2004 Conference, Feb. 19, =
2004
1 Day Workshop, <st1:place w:st=3D"on"><st1:City w:st=3D"on">Miami</st1:Cit=
y>, <st1:State
 w:st=3D"on">Florida</st1:State></st1:place>.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-s=
ize:
12.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S. &#822=
0;<span
style=3D'mso-no-proof:yes'>Sarbanes Oxley Microsoft Accelerator Forensic
Accounting, Expert Witness Testimony, &amp; Computer Litigation Support
Workshop</span>&#8221;, American Accounting Association Annual Meeting, </s=
pan><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Time=
s New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Saturday, August 4,2005</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Courier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>,
San Francisco, California (<a href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2005/cpe/cpe02.htm=
">http://aaahq.org/AM2005/cpe/cpe02.htm</a>),<span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp; </span>sponsored by Teaching and Curricul=
um<span
style=3D'color:#044004'> Section</span></span><b style=3D'mso-bidi-font-wei=
ght:
normal'><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-fon=
t-family:
"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>.<o:p></o:p></spa=
n></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;page-break-after:avoid;mso-outline-level:3;
mso-hyphenate:none;tab-stops:-.5in;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font=
-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p>&nb=
sp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;page-break-after:avoid;mso-outline-level:3;
mso-hyphenate:none;tab-stops:-.5in;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font=
-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek=
, A.
and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Assessment Automation Software for Accounting,
Teaching, and Recruiting Programs&#8221;,<span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;&nbsp; </span>American Accounting Associat=
ion
Meeting, August 6, 2006, Washington, D.C.,<span style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>=
&nbsp;
</span><a href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2006/cpe/cpe01.htm">http://aaahq.org/A=
M2006/cpe/cpe01.htm</a>,
sponsored by Teaching and Curriculum Section.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-s=
ize:
12.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p>&nb=
sp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-s=
ize:
12.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S.<span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp; </span>&#8220;<span style=3D'mso-no-proof=
:yes'>Audited
Google Video Professors' e-Store Pod-Casts: How to Teach, Service &amp;
Research using WWW Assessment DVD of Microsoft&reg; Office Accounting
Technologies for the Wireless Classroom</span>&#8221;, American Accounting
Association Annual Meeting,<span style=3D'color:#044004'> </span>August 4, =
2007,
Chicago, Illinois<span style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;
</span>http://aaahq.org/am2007/cpe/cpe03.htm,<span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp; </span>sponsored by Teaching and Curricul=
um
Section.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-s=
ize:
12.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-s=
ize:
12.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S.<span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp; </span>&#8220;<span style=3D'mso-no-proof=
:yes'>Assessment
CPE Video Podcasts and Blogs &quot;Hands-on:&quot; Consult, Publish &amp; T=
each
Forensic Auditing, Expert Witness Testimony &amp; Microsoft&reg; Office
Accounting Computer Litigation Support</span>, Saturday, August 4, 2007,
Chicago, Illinois, http://aaahq.org/am2007/cpe/cpe08.htm,<span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp; </span>sponsored by Teaching and Curricul=
um
Section.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Cou=
rier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier Ne=
w";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. =
and
Rushinek, S. &#8220;The Role of the Forensic Accountant in Calculating the
Damages Using the &#8216;But-if Analysis in a Case of Internet Day Trader &=
amp;
Online Broker Misconduct Litigation&#8221;, JOURNAL OF FORENSIC ACCOUNTING,
Vol. 1, No. 2, 241-250, 2001. <a
href=3D"http://www.rtedwards.com/journals/JFA/contents.html">http://www.rte=
dwards.com/journals/JFA/contents.html</a></span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Courier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Cou=
rier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier Ne=
w";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span>=
<span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Cou=
rier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier Ne=
w";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span>=
<span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>This is a study of the role of the
forensic accountant in calculating damages using the &#8220;but if&#8221;</=
span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>analysis in a case of Internet day
trader and broker misconduct litigation. The day trader</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>makes several claims that the foren=
sic
accountant can validate. For example, the trader claims</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>that the broker pressures the trade=
r to
take excessive risk and focus on NASDAQ&#8217;s most risky</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Internet stock trades. The forensic
accountant can quantify the risk of the different stock markets</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>and sectors. For this purpose, the
forensic accountant calculates the variance for the different</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>stock markets and sectors, leading =
to
the conclusion that indeed the NASDAQ is significantly</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>more risky than other stock exchang=
es.
Likewise, the Internet stocks are much more</span><span style=3D'font-size:=
10.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";backgro=
und:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>volatile than other sectors, and
therefore, much more risky. Forensic accountants are better</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>suited to deal with such cases when
special accounting issues arise. These issues may include</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>income taxes, trust accounting, mon=
ey
laundering, reconstructing financial statements as well</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>as cash collection issues. Furtherm=
ore,
the forensic accountant can deploy the &#8220;But If&#8221; analysis</span>=
<span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>to show what would have happened had
certain actions been avoided. In our case, what</span><span style=3D'font-s=
ize:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>would have happened had the online
broker not pulled the power plug on the PC (Personal</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Computer) of the day trader, forcing
him to suspend his trade. The forensic accountant can calculate</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New=
";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>the profits that the trader would h=
ave
earned had the broker allowed him to conclude</span><span style=3D'font-siz=
e:
10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tim=
es-Roman;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier Ne=
w";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>his exit plan=
 and
cover his short position, before the stock market trend reversed itself.</s=
pan><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Cou=
rier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier Ne=
w";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span>=
<span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Cou=
rier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier Ne=
w";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span>=
<span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Cou=
rier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier Ne=
w";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span>=
<span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Cou=
rier;
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier Ne=
w";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span>=
<span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;E-Commerce Security Measures: Are They Worth
It?&#8221;, ACM: UBIQUITY, Volume 3, issue 39, November 12, 2002 pp. 1-12.<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Short Sel=
ling
Opportunity Cost Of Stock Market Losses Damages Software: Internet Mathemat=
ical
Power, Log, Polynomial, Exponential &amp; Insider Trading Programs&#8221;,
JOURNAL OF FORENSIC ACCOUNTING, (Accepted for Publication).? </span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Aria=
l Unicode MS";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New";letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;
mso-highlight:yellow'><a
href=3D"http://www.rtedwards.com/journals/JFA/contents.html">http://www.rte=
dwards.com/journals/JFA/contents.html</a></span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &quot;Forensic Audits of Stock Market Forecasts For Tex=
aco
&amp; The International Oil and Gas Industry &amp; Financial Models for Onl=
ine
Broker Litigation&quot;, OIL, GAS, &amp; ENERGY QUARTERLY, Vol. 51, No. 4,
June, 2003, 659-678.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Automated Internet Trading Forecast Variance
Analysis: An Oil and Gas Industry And BP Corporation Case Study&#8221;, OIL=
, GAS,
&amp; ENERGY QUARTERLY, Volume 52 Number 1 September 2003, 35-54.<o:p></o:p=
></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";background:yellow;mso-highlight:
yellow'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek S. &#8220;What Makes a Publisher Important? Maximization of
Internet Citations Methodology&#8221;, ACM: UBIQUITY, Volume 4, Issue 12, <=
span
class=3DGramE>May</span> 13 - 19, 2003.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek S. &#8220;The University of DVD&#8221;, ACM: UBIQUITY, Volu=
me
4, Issue 41, <span class=3DGramE>May</span> 13 - 19, 2003.<o:p></o:p></span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:12.0pt;line-height:normal;text-=
autospace:
none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast=
-font-family:
"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. and
Rushinek, S. <b>&quot;</b>Patents &amp; Provisional Business Method Patent
Application (PPA) Disclosure Document Program (DDP) For Building &amp; Test=
ing
Quality Research Productivity Of Expert Witness Testimony &amp; Computer
Litigation Support Of Trade Secrets &amp; IP<b>&#8221;, </b>PRODUCTIVITY AND
QUALITY MANAGEMENT FRONTIERS, <span class=3DSpellE>Vol</span> X (2004).<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek S. &#8220;What Makes
Users Unhappy: Share-Point Team Services Web Server Security&#8221;, ACM:
UBIQUITY, Volume 6, Issue 2, February 2005. retrieved 10-31-2009 </span><sp=
an
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Book Antiqua","serif";mso-fareast-fon=
t-family:
"Arial Unicode MS";mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New";letter-spacing:-.15pt;
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;<a
href=3D"http://www.acm.org/ubiquity/views/v6i2_rushinek.html"><span
style=3D'mso-bidi-font-size:11.0pt'>http://www.acm.org/ubiquity/views/v6i2_=
rushinek.html</span></a></span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Arial Unicode MS";
letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Arial Unicode MS";letter-spacing:-.15pt;background:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek S. &#8220;Internet W=
eb
Server Comparative Forecasting Sales Models: Reversed Accounting of Texaco =
Corp
and The Oil &amp; Gas Industry linear, Exponential, Power, Polynomial &amp;
Logarithmic Univariate Regressions&#8221;, OIL, GAS, &amp; ENERGY QUARTERLY,
Volume 54, No. 2, November 2005, 87-95<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";letter-=
spacing:
-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";letter-=
spacing:
-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Mark Friedman, Avi Rushinek,
Sara Rushinek &#8220;The Effect on Achievement of Using Emerging Technology=
 in
the Managerial Accounting Course&#8221;, THE ACCOUNTING <span class=3DSpell=
E>EDUCATORS'JOURNAL,Volume</span>
16 (2006) <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";letter-=
spacing:
-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";backgro=
und:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Retrieved 11-1-98: <a
href=3D"http://docs.google.com/gview?a=3Dv&amp;q=3Dcache:kPTYgWPEA7kJ:www.a=
ejournal.com/ojs/index.php/aej/article/view/32/32+THE+ACCOUNTING+EDUCATORS'=
+JOURNAL,+Volume+16+(2006)&amp;hl=3Den&amp;gl=3Dus&amp;pid=3Dbl&amp;srcid=
=3DADGEESiPfkg-LaynTualjyzZnUzb8R4LY7zRfEU6I00eH7maeYwrmbAxGTM2CEQ0MRmAlS">=
http://docs.google.com/gview?a=3Dv&amp;q=3Dcache:kPTYgWPEA7kJ:www.aejournal=
.com/ojs/index.php/aej/article/view/32/32+THE+ACCOUNTING+EDUCATORS'+JOURNAL=
,+Volume+16+(2006)&amp;hl=3Den&amp;gl=3Dus&amp;pid=3Dbl&amp;srcid=3DADGEESi=
Pfkg-LaynTualjyzZnUzb8R4LY7zRfEU6I00eH7maeYwrmbAxGTM2CEQ0MRmAlS</a><o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Co=
urier New";
mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;mso-highlight:y=
ellow'><a
href=3D"http://www.aejournal.com/ojs/index.php/aej/article/viewFile/32/32">=
http://www.aejournal.com/ojs/index.php/aej/article/viewFile/32/32</a><o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";letter-=
spacing:
-.15pt;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font=
-family:
"Courier New";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Rushinek, A. and Rush=
inek
S. &#8220;An Automated Business Intelligent Stock Market Matching Engine For
the Oil and Gas Industry: Materiality of Violating the Normality Assumption=
 of
Linear Regression Control Analysis&#8221;, OIL, GAS, &amp; ENERGY QUARTERLY,
Volume 56, No. 2, November 2007, 435-448.</span><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";backgro=
und:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";backgro=
und:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>Retrieved 11-1-98: </span><span style=3D'font-=
size:
10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>=
<a
href=3D"http://www.acquirecontent.com/titles/oilgas-energy-quarterly">http:=
//www.acquirecontent.com/titles/oilgas-energy-quarterly</a></span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;text-=
align:
justify;line-height:normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10=
.0pt;
font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";mso-bidi-font=
-family:
"Courier New";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>&nbsp;</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;punctuation-wrap:simple;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-siz=
e:
10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>=
Rushinek,
A. and Rushinek S. &#8220;</span><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-famil=
y:
"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";background:yellow;
mso-highlight:yellow'>Optimal Forecasting Models For The Oil &amp; Gas
Industry:&nbsp; A Study Of The Daily Dow Jones U.S. Oil &amp; Gas Index And
ConocoPhillips With The Aid Of The Virtual Internet Office</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Time=
s New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>=
&#8221;,
OIL, GAS, &amp; ENERGY QUARTERLY, Volume 57, No. 1, June, 2008, 893-901.</s=
pan><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman";
background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;punctuation-wrap:simple;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-siz=
e:
10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New";background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>=
<a
href=3D"http://www.docstoc.com/docs/3866699/OFFSHORE-BANKING-TAX-PLANNING--=
THE-VIRTUAL-INTERNET-OFFICE-">http://www.docstoc.com/docs/3866699/OFFSHORE-=
BANKING-TAX-PLANNING--THE-VIRTUAL-INTERNET-OFFICE-</a></span><span
style=3D'font-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";mso-fareast-font=
-family:
"Times New Roman";color:black;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><a
href=3D"http://www.docstoc.com/docs/3866699/OFFSHORE-BANKING-TAX-PLANNING--=
THE-VIRTUAL-INTERNET-OFFICE-"><span
style=3D'mso-bidi-font-size:11.0pt'>OFFSHORE BANKING, <b>TAX</b>-PLANNING, =
THE
VIRTUAL INTERNET OFFICE ...</span></a></span><span style=3D'font-size:10.0p=
t;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";backgro=
und:
yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:ideograph-numeric'><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
color:black;background:yellow;mso-highlight:yellow'>2 <b>Rushinek</b>, A. a=
nd <b>Rushinek</b>,
S., &#8220;<b>Oil</b> and <b>Gas</b> Market Sector &amp; Company Relative <=
b>...</b>
Theory Applied to Shell <b>Oil</b>&#8221;, <b>Oil</b>, <b>Gas</b>, &amp; <b=
>Tax
Quarterly</b>, March 1997, Vol. <b>...</b><br>
<i>www.docstoc.com/.../OFFSHORE-BANKING-<b>TAX</b>-PLANNING--THE-VIRTUAL-IN=
TERNET-OFFICE-</i></span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family=
:"Times New Roman"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;punctuation-wrap:simple;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-siz=
e:
10.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
mso-bidi-font-family:"Courier New"'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'font-size:1=
0.0pt;
font-family:"Courier New";mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"'><o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-s=
ize:
12.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\=
\\\\\\\<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-s=
ize:
12.0pt;font-family:Courier;mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-family:ArialMT;
background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Appendix A; <o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-family:ArialMT;
background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Sample AAA CPE Workshops &amp;
Presentations<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-family:ArialMT;
background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Rus=
hinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Offshore Internet Web Server, e-Commerce, and
Taxation: Reducing Legal Liabilities&#8221;, <span style=3D'color:black'>In=
ternational
Tax planning, Anti-Money Laundering and Compliance Conference - Miami Beach,
Florida, May, 2002.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>&nb=
sp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Rus=
hinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Computer Security and Accounting Information
Systems: Updates and Challenges&#8221;, <span style=3D'color:black'>Interna=
tional
Tax planning, Anti-Money Laundering and Compliance Conference - Miami Beach,
Florida, May, 2002.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>&nb=
sp;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Rus=
hinek,
A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Forensic Accounting and Computer Forensics:
Implications for Offshore Companies&#8221;, <span style=3D'color:black'>Int=
ernational
Tax planning, Anti-Money Laundering and Compliance Conference - Miami Beach,
Florida, May, 2002.</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-align:justify'><span style=3D'background=
:lime;
mso-highlight:lime'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;DVD Technology:
Academic &amp; Professional Productivity Tutorial &amp; Workshop&#8221; ICP=
QR
2004 Conference, Feb. 19, 2004 1 Day Workshop, Miami, Florida.<o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Sarbanes Oxley Microsoft Acceler=
ator
Forensic Accounting, Expert Witness Testimony, &amp; Computer Litigation
Support Workshop&#8221;, American Accounting Association Annual Meeting 200=
5,
Saturday, August 4,2005, San Francisco, California, sponsored by Teaching a=
nd
Curriculum<span style=3D'color:#044004'> Section</span></span><b><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:Courier;background:l=
ime;
mso-highlight:lime'>.</span></b><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highligh=
t:
lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'><a href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2005/cpe/cpe02.htm">http://aaahq.org/AM=
2005/cpe/cpe02.htm</a>
</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>An International Meeting of </span><span style=3D'background:lime;
mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>the American Accounting Association</span><span style=3D'background:l=
ime;
mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>2005 Annual Meeting</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highligh=
t:
lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>August 7&#8211;10, 2005 </span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-hig=
hlight:
lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>San Francisco, California</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-hi=
ghlight:
lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Come to the City by the Bay! </span><span style=3D'background:lime;
mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>---------------------------------------------------------------------=
-----------</span><span
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>CPE Session 2: Saturday, August 6, 8:00 AM &#8211; 4:00 PM</span><span
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Sarbanes-Oxley Microsoft&reg; Accelerator Forensic Accounting,</span>=
<span
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Expert Witness Testimony, and Computer Litigation Support </span><span
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Description/Objectives:</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-high=
light:
lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Sarbanes-Oxley Microsoft Accelerator Forensic accounting workshop
demonstrates how Accounting academics and practitioners can use Microsoft S=
hare
Point Team Services and Share Point Server to assist an internal audit team=
 in
implementing, investigating, and improving compliance audit services. It
describes how to become an Accounting Expert Witness and how to provide Exp=
ert
Witness Testimony, with an emphasis on HIPAA (Health Insurance Portability =
and
Accountability), Sarbanes-Oxley, and Basel II Compliance Forensic Accountin=
g.</span><span
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>We will discuss R&amp;D for experienced expert witnesses, including t=
he
issues of dealing with the forensic team of professionals. This workshop
focuses on using forensic accounting techniques in general, and providing
Computer Litigation Support in particular. The workshop objectives include
helping experienced expert witnesses to review their skills and upgrade the=
m,
while demonstrating to prospective expert witnesses the nature of the work,=
 its
intellectual challenges and financial opportunities and rewards. We plan to
meet such objectives, by lectures, role playing, demonstrations, and most
importantly active participation of the audience as well as discussions and
arguments of pros and cons of various issues.</span><span style=3D'backgrou=
nd:
lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Format/Structure:</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:=
lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>DVDs for litigation support, including the pros and cons of different
standards such as DVD+/-RW/VR (Digital Versatile Disk, Read Write, and Video
Recording), DVD-RAM (Random Access Memory), HD (High Definition)-DVD, Blu-R=
ay
DVD, DVD Copying, dubbing, burning, and recording, focusing on the technical
and legal facets.</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Intended Audience:</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight=
:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>This study targets practicing and academic litigation and litigation
support team members, including lawyers, economists, accountants, auditors,
doctors, engineers, corporate executives, expert witnesses, plaintiffs and
defendants, as well as students and others interested in the topic. This
workshop will review the financial opportunities for expert witnesses, fee
structures, relationship with the legal profession, <span class=3DGramE>opp=
ortunities</span>
for students that want to specialize in the area of forensic accounting and
litigation support, and/or combine the study of accounting and law, and
computer information systems.</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-high=
light:
lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Presenters:</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Sara Rushinek, University of Miami</span><span style=3D'background:li=
me;
mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Avi Rushinek, University of Miami</span><span style=3D'background:lim=
e;
mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Sponsor:</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Teaching and Curriculum Section</span><span style=3D'background:lime;
mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>---------------------------------------------------------------------=
-----------</span><span
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>* Denotes special requirements or prerequisite</span><span
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Back to CPE Listings Back to Annual Meeting Home Page </span><span
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;
font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>&nbsp;</span></b><s=
pan
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;
font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>&nbsp;</span></b><s=
pan
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;
font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>&nbsp;</span></b><s=
pan
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<div align=3Dcenter>

<table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D1 cellspacing=3D3 cellpadding=3D0 wi=
dth=3D800
 style=3D'width:480.0pt;mso-cellspacing:1.5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-pad=
ding-alt:
 0in 0in 0in 0in'>
 <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
  <td style=3D'padding:7.5pt 7.5pt 7.5pt 7.5pt'>
  <div align=3Dcenter>
  <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D3 cellpadding=3D0 =
width=3D775
   style=3D'width:465.0pt;mso-cellspacing:1.5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-p=
adding-alt:
   0in 0in 0in 0in'>
   <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
    <td style=3D'padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
    <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'text-align:center;text-aut=
ospace:
    none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black;backg=
round:
    lime;mso-highlight:lime'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shapetype id=3D"_x0000_t=
75"
     coordsize=3D"21600,21600" o:spt=3D"75" o:preferrelative=3D"t" path=3D"=
m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe"
     filled=3D"f" stroked=3D"f">
     <v:stroke joinstyle=3D"miter"/>
     <v:formulas>
      <v:f eqn=3D"if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"/>
      <v:f eqn=3D"sum @0 1 0"/>
      <v:f eqn=3D"sum 0 0 @1"/>
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      <v:f eqn=3D"prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"/>
      <v:f eqn=3D"sum @0 0 1"/>
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      <v:f eqn=3D"prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"/>
      <v:f eqn=3D"sum @8 21600 0"/>
      <v:f eqn=3D"prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"/>
      <v:f eqn=3D"sum @10 21600 0"/>
     </v:formulas>
     <v:path o:extrusionok=3D"f" gradientshapeok=3D"t" o:connecttype=3D"rec=
t"/>
     <o:lock v:ext=3D"edit" aspectratio=3D"t"/>
    </v:shapetype><v:shape id=3D"_x0000_i1025" type=3D"#_x0000_t75" alt=3D"=
American Accounting Association"
     style=3D'width:117.6pt;height:150pt'/><![endif]--><![if !vml]><img bor=
der=3D0
    width=3D157 height=3D200
    src=3D"2-16-10_Thu_mht_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-prime_m=
orgages_cds_cdos_material_misstatements_files/image001.gif"
    alt=3D"American Accounting Association" v:shapes=3D"_x0000_i1025"><![en=
dif]></span><span
    style=3D'font-family:"Courier New";background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>
    </td>
    <td style=3D'padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt'>
    <p align=3Dcenter style=3D'text-align:center'><strong><span style=3D'fo=
nt-family:
    "Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif";color:black;background:lime;mso-highlig=
ht:
    lime'>An International Meeting of </span></strong><b><span
    style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><br>
    <strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>the
    American Accounting Association</span></strong></span></b><span
    style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    <h2><span style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>2005
    Annual Meeting</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'=
><o:p></o:p></span></h2>
    <h3><span style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Augu=
st
    7&#8211;10, 2005 <br>
    San Francisco, California</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-high=
light:
    lime'><o:p></o:p></span></h3>
    <h2><em><span style=3D'font-family:"Cambria","serif";mso-ascii-theme-fo=
nt:
    major-latin;mso-hansi-theme-font:major-latin;mso-bidi-font-family:"Time=
s New Roman";
    mso-bidi-theme-font:major-bidi;color:black;background:lime;mso-highligh=
t:
    lime;font-style:normal'>Come to the City by the Bay!</span></em><span
    style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></h2>
    </td>
   </tr>
  </table>
  </div>
  <div class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'text-align:center;text-aut=
ospace:
  none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black;backgro=
und:
  lime;mso-highlight:lime'>
  <hr size=3D2 width=3D"100%" align=3Dcenter>
  </span></div>
  <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D3 cellpadding=3D0 =
width=3D800
   style=3D'width:480.0pt;mso-cellspacing:1.5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-p=
adding-alt:
   0in 0in 0in 0in'>
   <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
    <td style=3D'padding:15.0pt 15.0pt 15.0pt 15.0pt'>
    <h3><span style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>CPE
    Session 2: Saturday, August 6, 8:00 AM &#8211; 4:00 PM</span><span
    style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></h3>
    <h3><span style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Sarb=
anes-Oxley
    Microsoft&reg; Accelerator Forensic Accounting,<br>
    Expert Witness Testimony, and Computer Litigation Support </span><span
    style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></h3>
    <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif";
    color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Description/Objectives:=
</span></strong><span
    style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><br>
    Sarbanes-Oxley Microsoft Accelerator Forensic accounting workshop
    demonstrates how Accounting academics and practitioners can use Microso=
ft
    Share Point Team Services and Share Point Server to assist an internal
    audit team in implementing, investigating, and improving compliance aud=
it
    services. It describes how to become an Accounting Expert Witness and h=
ow
    to provide Expert Witness Testimony, with an emphasis on HIPAA (Health
    Insurance Portability and Accountability), Sarbanes-Oxley, and Basel II
    Compliance Forensic Accounting.</span><span style=3D'background:lime;
    mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    <p><span style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>We wi=
ll
    discuss R&amp;D for experienced expert witnesses, including the issues =
of
    dealing with the forensic team of professionals. This workshop focuses =
on
    using forensic accounting techniques in general, and providing Computer
    Litigation Support in particular. The workshop objectives include helpi=
ng
    experienced expert witnesses to review their skills and upgrade them, w=
hile
    demonstrating to prospective expert witnesses the nature of the work, i=
ts
    intellectual challenges and financial opportunities and rewards. We pla=
n to
    meet such objectives, by lectures, role playing, demonstrations, and mo=
st
    importantly active participation of the audience as well as discussions=
 and
    arguments of pros and cons of various issues.</span><span style=3D'back=
ground:
    lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif";
    color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Format/Structure:</span=
></strong><span
    style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><br>
    DVDs for litigation support, including the pros and cons of different
    standards such as DVD+/-RW/VR (Digital Versatile Disk, Read Write, and
    Video Recording), DVD-RAM (Random Access Memory), HD (High Definition)-=
DVD,
    Blu-Ray DVD, DVD Copying, dubbing, burning, and recording, focusing on =
the
    technical and legal facets.</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-hi=
ghlight:
    lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif";
    color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Intended Audience:</spa=
n></strong><span
    style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><br>
    This study targets practicing and academic litigation and litigation
    support team members, including lawyers, economists, accountants, audit=
ors,
    doctors, engineers, corporate executives, expert witnesses, plaintiffs =
and
    defendants, as well as students and others interested in the topic. This
    workshop will review the financial opportunities for expert witnesses, =
fee
    structures, relationship with the legal profession, <span class=3DGramE=
>opportunities</span>
    for students that want to specialize in the area of forensic accounting=
 and
    litigation support, and/or combine the study of accounting and law, and
    computer information systems.</span><span style=3D'background:lime;
    mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif";
    color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Presenters:</span></str=
ong><span
    style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><br>
    Sara Rushinek, University of Miami<br>
    Avi Rushinek, University of Miami</span><span style=3D'background:lime;
    mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif";
    color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>Sponsor:</span></strong=
><span
    style=3D'color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><br>
    Teaching and Curriculum Section</span><span style=3D'background:lime;
    mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    <div class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";
    color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>
    <hr size=3D2 width=3D"33%" align=3Dleft>
    </span></div>
    <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif";
    color:black;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>* Denotes special
    requirements or prerequisite</span></strong><span style=3D'background:l=
ime;
    mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    </td>
   </tr>
  </table>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";colo=
r:black;
  display:none;mso-hide:all;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>&nbsp;</spa=
n><span
  style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New";
  background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D3 cellpadding=3D0
   style=3D'mso-cellspacing:1.5pt;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0in=
 0in 0in 0in'>
   <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes;
    height:18.75pt'>
    <td width=3D375 style=3D'width:225.0pt;padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt;
    height:18.75pt'>
    <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'text-align:center;text-aut=
ospace:
    none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black;backg=
round:
    lime;mso-highlight:lime'><a href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2005/cpeinfo.htm=
">Back
    to CPE Listings</a></span><span style=3D'font-family:"Courier New";
    background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    </td>
    <td width=3D375 style=3D'width:225.0pt;padding:.75pt .75pt .75pt .75pt;
    height:18.75pt'>
    <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dcenter style=3D'text-align:center;text-aut=
ospace:
    none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:black;backg=
round:
    lime;mso-highlight:lime'><a href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2005/menu.htm">B=
ack to
    Annual Meeting Home Page</a></span><span style=3D'font-family:"Courier =
New";
    background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    </td>
   </tr>
  </table>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

</div>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;
font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>&nbsp;</span></b><s=
pan
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New";backgr=
ound:
lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;
font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'>&nbsp;</span></b><s=
pan
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<h3><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;letter-spacing:0pt;background:lime;
mso-highlight:lime;font-weight:normal'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'backgrou=
nd:
lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></h3>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;
mso-highlight:lime'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Assessment Automat=
ion
Software for Accounting, Teaching, and Recruiting Programs&#8221;,&nbsp;
&nbsp;American Accounting Association Meeting 2006,August 6, 2006, Washingt=
on,
D.C., sponsored by Teaching and Curriculum Section. <a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2006/cpe/cpe01.htm">http://aaahq.org/AM2006/cpe/=
cpe01.htm</a>
</span></b><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/pubs/AEN/2006/AM2006.pdf">http://aaahq.org/pubs/AE=
N/2006/AM2006.pdf</a><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<h3><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;letter-spacing:0pt;background:lime;
mso-highlight:lime;font-weight:normal'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'backgrou=
nd:
lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></h3>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Rushinek, A. and Rushinek, S. &#8220;Audited Google Video Professors'
e-Store Pod-Casts: How to Teach, Service &amp; Research using WWW Assessment
DVD of Microsoft&reg; Office Accounting Technologies for the Wireless
Classroom,&#8221; American Accounting Association Annual Meeting 2007,<span
style=3D'color:#044004'> </span>August 4, 2007, Chicago, Illinois, sponsore=
d by
Teaching and Curriculum Section. <a href=3D"http://aaahq.org/am2007/cpe/cpe=
03.htm">http://aaahq.org/am2007/cpe/cpe03.htm</a>
</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>&nbsp;</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>CPE Session 3: Saturday, August 4, 8:00 AM &#8211; 11:00 AM </span><s=
pan
style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Audited Google Video Professors' e-Store Pod-Casts: How to Teach, Ser=
vice
&amp; Research using WWW Assessment DVD of Microsoft&reg; Office Accounting
Technologies for the Wireless Classroom</span><span style=3D'background:lim=
e;
mso-highlight:lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>(Accounting)</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-highlight:lime'=
><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>Description/Objectives:</span><span style=3D'background:lime;mso-high=
light:
lime'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier;background:lime;mso=
-highlight:
lime'>This workshop focuses on Audited Google Video Professors' e-Stores
Podcasts. It describes how university professors record lectures to Podcast
them, and distributes them offline and online. It deals with how to stream =
free
trailers, upload and download clips, Page-View Counts, Buy High Quality,
Day-Pass, or View the Full Length of a Clip. It evaluates methods of
&quot;How-to&quot; Teach, Service, and Research the WWW (World Wide Web)
Assessment DVD, applied not only to supplement instructions and testing,
e-learning and CPE distance learning, but also to improve teaching
effectiveness, fund other activities, and facilitate business continuity ba=
ckup
and recovery. Thus, you can back up your computers and lectures on to a DVD,
and distribute it from a remote WWW server. We use the new Free Microsoft&r=
eg;
Office Accounting Technologies as an instructional tool and an example of h=
ow
to teach, service, and research using new Wireless Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, Blu-ra=
y</span><span
style=3D'font-family:Courier'> technologies.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Presenters: </span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Avi Rushinek, Univ=
ersity
of Miami</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Sara Rushinek, Uni=
versity
of Miami</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Sponsor: Teaching =
and
Curriculum Section.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>------------------=
--------------------------------------------------------------</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Note: CPE fields o=
f study
are in parentheses</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<h3>CPE Session 3: Saturday, August 4, 8:00 AM &#8211; 11:00 AM </h3>

<h3>Audited Google Video Professors' e-Store Pod-Casts: How to Teach, Servi=
ce
&amp; Research using WWW Assessment DVD of Microsoft&reg; Office Accounting
Technologies for the Wireless Classroom</h3>

<h4>(Accounting)</h4>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Desc=
ription/Objectives:</span></strong><br>
This workshop focuses on Audited Google Video Professors' e-Stores Podcasts=
. It
describes how university professors record lectures to Podcast them, and
distributes them offline and online. It deals with how to stream free trail=
ers,
upload and download clips, Page-View Counts, Buy High Quality, Day-Pass, or
View the Full Length of a Clip. It evaluates methods of &quot;How-to&quot; =
Teach,
Service, and Research the WWW (World Wide Web) Assessment DVD, applied not =
only
to supplement instructions and testing, e-learning and CPE distance learnin=
g,
but also to improve teaching effectiveness, fund other activities, and
facilitate business continuity backup and recovery. Thus, you can back up y=
our
computers and lectures on to a DVD, and distribute it from a remote WWW ser=
ver.
We use the new Free Microsoft&reg; Office Accounting Technologies as an
instructional tool and an example of how to teach, service, and research us=
ing
new Wireless Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, Blu-ray technologies.</p>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Pres=
enters:
</span></strong><br>
Avi Rushinek, University of Miami<br>
Sara Rushinek, University of Miami</p>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Spon=
sor:</span></strong>
Teaching and Curriculum Section.</p>

<div class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";colo=
r:#125D3C'>

<hr size=3D2 width=3D"33%" align=3Dleft>

</span></div>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Note=
:</span></strong>
CPE fields of study are in parentheses</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Rushinek, A. and R=
ushinek,
S.&nbsp; &#8220;Assessment CPE Video Podcasts and Blogs &quot;Hands-on:&quo=
t;
Consult, Publish &amp; Teach Forensic Auditing, Expert Witness Testimony &a=
mp;
Microsoft&reg; Office Accounting Computer Litigation Support,&#8221; Americ=
an
Accounting Association Annual Meeting 2007, Saturday, August 4, 2007, Chica=
go,
Illinois, sponsored by Teaching and Curriculum Section. <a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/am2007/cpe/cpe08.htm">http://aaahq.org/am2007/cpe/=
cpe08.htm</a>
</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>CPE Session 8: Saturday, August 4, 1:00 PM &#8211; 4:00 PM</h3>

<h3>Assessment CPE Video Podcasts and Blogs &quot;Hands-on:&quot; Consult,
Publish &amp; Teach Forensic Auditing, Expert Witness Testimony &amp;
Microsoft&reg; Office Accounting Computer Litigation Support</h3>

<h3>(Specialized Knowledge &amp; Applications)</h3>

<h3>Description/Objectives:</h3>

<h3>Repurpose DVD-recorded lectures using new Blu-ray&reg; and HD-DVD&reg; =
in
the classroom and CPE, for the CPA, CMA, CIA, CISA/M WWW certificate Preps.
Demonstrate download of the Microsoft Office Accounting, and upload the lec=
ture
on <span class=3DSpellE>ITunesU</span>&reg;, Google Video&reg;, and YouTube=
&reg;.
Review test automation compliance with NASBA, AACSB, COSO, Sarbanes-Oxley,
HIPAA, and Basel II. Publish for students, alumnus, professionals, and the
general public. Web cast using multi-media streaming tools to be more effec=
tive
and efficient, and provide a more enjoyable experience. Use the new
Microsoft&reg; Office 2007 Accounting, and Vista&reg; involving Effective
Learning Strategies, Emerging and Innovative Research, and Internet Research
Forums. Instructors encourage existing and prospective faculty and students=
 to
be involved and contribute in Assessing Submissions, Publications, Faculty
Development, Teaching, Research, Practice, Service, Awards, and Placement
streamline automation and SEO (Search Engine Optimization). </h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>Presenters:</h3>

<h3>Avi Rushinek, University of Miami</h3>

<h3>Sara Rushinek, University of Miami</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>Sponsor:</h3>

<h3>Teaching and Curriculum Section.</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>-----------------------------------------------------------------------=
---------</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>Note: CPE fields of study are in parentheses</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>&nbsp;</h3>

<h3>CPE Session 8: Saturday, August 4, 1:00 PM &#8211; 4:00 PM</h3>

<h3>Assessment CPE Video Podcasts and Blogs &quot;Hands-on:&quot; Consult,
Publish &amp; Teach Forensic Auditing, Expert Witness Testimony &amp;
Microsoft&reg; Office Accounting Computer Litigation Support</h3>

<h4>(Specialized Knowledge &amp; Applications)</h4>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Desc=
ription/Objectives:</span></strong><br>
Repurpose DVD-recorded lectures using new Blu-ray&reg; and HD-DVD&reg; in t=
he
classroom and CPE, for the CPA, CMA, CIA, CISA/M WWW certificate Preps.
Demonstrate download of the Microsoft Office Accounting, and upload the lec=
ture
on <span class=3DSpellE>iTunesU</span>&reg;, Google Video&reg;, and YouTube=
&reg;.
Review test automation compliance with NASBA, AACSB, COSO, Sarbanes-Oxley,
HIPAA, and Basel II. Publish for students, alumnus, professionals, and the
general public. Web cast using multi-media streaming tools to be more effec=
tive
and efficient, and provide a more enjoyable experience. Use the new
Microsoft&reg; Office 2007 Accounting, and Vista&reg; involving Effective
Learning Strategies, Emerging and Innovative Research, and Internet Research
Forums. Instructors encourage existing and prospective faculty and students=
 to
be involved and contribute in Assessing Submissions, Publications, Faculty
Development, Teaching, Research, Practice, Service, Awards, and Placement s=
treamline
automation and SEO (Search Engine Optimization). </p>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Pres=
enters:</span></strong><br>
Avi Rushinek, University of Miami<br>
Sara Rushinek, University of Miami</p>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Spon=
sor:</span></strong><br>
Teaching and Curriculum Section.</p>

<div class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";colo=
r:#125D3C'>

<hr size=3D2 width=3D"33%" align=3Dleft>

</span></div>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Note=
:</span></strong>
CPE fields of study are in parentheses</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Rushinek, A. and R=
ushinek,
S.&nbsp; &#8220;How to Use New Media and Technology to Repurpose Classroom
Instruction for the Accounting and Business Educator&#8221; 2008 Internatio=
nal
Fraud and Forensic Accounting Education Conference, May 9, 2008, Las Vegas,
Nevada&nbsp; <a
href=3D"http://www.docstoc.com/docs/5525868/2008-International-Fraud-and-Fo=
rensic-Accounting-Education-Conference">http://www.docstoc.com/docs/5525868=
/2008-International-Fraud-and-Forensic-Accounting-Education-Conference</a><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Rushinek, A. and R=
ushinek,
S.&nbsp; &quot;Mock Trial &amp; Forensic Faculty</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>WWW Marketplace, J=
ury,
Judge &amp; Attorneys &quot;Courtroom &amp; Classroom Instructional Technol=
ogy
Research &amp; Service,&quot; American Accounting Association Annual Meeting
2008, Anaheim, California, CPE Session 2: Saturday, August 2, 8:00 AM-11:00=
 AM,
sponsored by Teaching and Curriculum Section. <a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2008/cpe/cpe02.htm">http://aaahq.org/AM2008/cpe/=
cpe02.htm</a>
&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>CPE Session 2: Sat=
urday,
August 2, 8:00 AM &#8211; 11:00 AM</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Mock Trial &amp; F=
orensic
Faculty</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>WWW Marketplace, J=
ury,
Judge &amp; Attorneys &#8212; Courtroom &amp; Classroom Instructional
Technology Research &amp; Service</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>(Accounting - Basi=
c)</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Description/Object=
ives:</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>The workshop deals=
 with:
E-Discovery Testimony, Accounting Corporate Information Unauthorized
Disclosure, Identity Theft, Money Laundering, Fraud investigations, Office
Accounting Cops &amp; Robber Simulations, Phony Sales &amp; Fraud detection=
s,
Spreadsheet Database Research Tracking, Digital Media Evidence CDs &amp; DV=
Ds,
CYBER CRIME, Security ethical hacking anti-Virus controls, Cell Phones &amp;
PDAs Evidence, Trade Secrets Alleged Theft, Electronic Evidence Management.
Threats Software &amp; Hardware tool Integration Scenarios Deposition Preps,
Jury Deliberation Litigation Arbitration &amp; Mediation Industry Specific
Academia, Hedge Fund, Government &amp; Medical Shenanigans, Plagiarism, The=
ft
&amp; Misrepresentation Controls Red-flags White-color Schemes, Scams Cons
Crooks Drug &amp; Human Trafficking Certification Qualification Monitor
Confessions Boiler-Plate Rooms, Schemes, Counsels, Judges, &amp; Lawyers Go=
ne
Wild (900)Sue-U2.com Foreign Offshore Banking, Tax Avoidance Evasion, &amp;
Wealth Management PI Family Divorce Real-estate Stock-Market Litigations Hi=
red
Guns Cross Examination Structured Settlements.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Advance Preparatio=
n:</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Email and or call
presenters (arush@miami.edu, arushine@aol.com, (305) 666-7890) about cases,
articles, issues, or any relevant suggestions and/or materials, and/or ideas
for discussion and analysis during the workshop to presenters. Dr. Avi
Rushinek, University of Miami, Accounting Department, Jenkins 421, C. Gable=
s,
Fl, 33124 USA (Run)Air-Webs/Phone (Cell) U. Miami, 5250 University Drive,
C.I.S. Dept. Jenkins 421, C. Gables, Fl, 33124 (786)247-9327/7466 (Cell) Ac=
c.
Dept. 314 Jenkins, UM, Coral Gables, Fl, 33124, USA or 1205 Mariposa Ave. #=
208,
Coral Gables, Fl, 33146.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://www.onafree=
.com/default.aspx</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://drjd.net/de=
fault.aspx</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://dvdu.org/de=
fault.aspx</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://moax.org/de=
fault.aspx</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://www.webjobn=
et.com</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Presenters:</span>=
</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Avi Rushinek, Univ=
ersity
of Miami</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Sara Rushinek, Uni=
versity
of Miami</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>__________________=
______________________</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Note: CPE fields o=
f study
are in parentheses</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<h3>CPE Session 2: Saturday, August 2, 8:00 AM &#8211; 11:00 AM</h3>

<h3>Mock Trial &amp; Forensic Faculty<br>
WWW Marketplace, Jury, Judge &amp; Attorneys &#8212; Courtroom &amp; Classr=
oom
Instructional Technology Research &amp; Service</h3>

<h4>(Accounting - Basic)</h4>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Desc=
ription/Objectives:</span></strong><br>
The workshop deals with: E-Discovery Testimony, Accounting Corporate
Information Unauthorized Disclosure, Identity Theft, Money Laundering, Fraud
investigations, Office Accounting Cops &amp; Robber Simulations, Phony Sales
&amp; Fraud detections, Spreadsheet Database Research Tracking, Digital Med=
ia
Evidence CDs &amp; DVDs, CYBER CRIME, Security ethical hacking anti-Virus
controls, Cell Phones &amp; PDAs Evidence, Trade Secrets Alleged Theft,
Electronic Evidence Management. Threats Software &amp; Hardware tool
Integration Scenarios Deposition Preps, Jury Deliberation Litigation
Arbitration &amp; Mediation Industry Specific Academia, Hedge Fund, Governm=
ent
&amp; Medical Shenanigans, Plagiarism, Theft &amp; Misrepresentation Contro=
ls
Red-flags White-color Schemes, Scams Cons Crooks Drug &amp; Human Trafficki=
ng
Certification Qualification Monitor Confessions Boiler-Plate Rooms, Schemes,
Counsels, Judges, &amp; Lawyers Gone Wild (900)Sue-U2.com Foreign Offshore
Banking, Tax Avoidance Evasion, &amp; Wealth Management PI Family Divorce
Real-estate Stock-Market Litigations Hired Guns Cross Examination Structured
Settlements.</p>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Adva=
nce
Preparation:</span></strong><br>
Email and or call presenters (<a href=3D"mailto:arush@miami.edu">arush@miam=
i.edu</a>,
<a href=3D"mailto:arushine@aol.com">arushine@aol.com</a>, (305) 666-7890) a=
bout
cases, articles, issues, or any relevant suggestions and/or materials, and/=
or
ideas for discussion and analysis during the workshop to presenters. Dr. Avi
Rushinek, University of Miami, Accounting Department, Jenkins 421, C. Gable=
s,
Fl, 33124 USA (Run)Air-Webs/Phone (Cell) U. Miami, 5250 University Drive,
C.I.S. Dept. Jenkins 421, C. Gables, Fl, 33124 (786)247-9327/7466 (Cell) Ac=
c.
Dept. 314 Jenkins, UM, Coral Gables, Fl, 33124, USA or 1205 Mariposa Ave. #=
208,
Coral Gables, Fl, 33146.<br>
<br>
<a href=3D"http://www.onafree.com/default.aspx">http://www.onafree.com/defa=
ult.aspx</a><br>
<a href=3D"http://drjd.net/default.aspx">http://drjd.net/default.aspx</a><b=
r>
<a href=3D"http://dvdu.org/default.aspx">http://dvdu.org/default.aspx</a><b=
r>
<a href=3D"http://moax.org/default.aspx">http://moax.org/default.aspx</a><b=
r>
<a href=3D"http://www.webjobnet.com">http://www.webjobnet.com</a></p>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Pres=
enters:</span></strong><br>
Avi Rushinek, University of Miami<br>
Sara Rushinek, University of Miami</p>

<div class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";colo=
r:#2F358F'>

<hr size=3D2 width=3D"33%" align=3Dleft>

</span></div>

<p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Note=
:</span></strong>
CPE fields of study are in parentheses</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Rushinek, A. and R=
ushinek,
S.&nbsp; &quot;Role Play Forensic Accounting, Auditing &amp; Tax Expert
Witness: Providing Testimony and Computer Litigation Support Teaching,
Services, Research and Development,&quot; American Accounting Association
Annual Meeting 2008, Anaheim, California, <span class=3DGramE>CPE</span> Se=
ssion
11: Saturday, August 2, 1:00 PM-4:00 PM, sponsored by Teaching and Curricul=
um
Section. </span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'><a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2008/cpe/cpe11.htm">http://aaahq.org/AM2008/cpe/=
cpe11.htm</a>
</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>CPE Session 11: Sa=
turday, August
2, 1:00 PM &#8211; 4:00 PM</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Role Play Forensic
Accounting, Auditing &amp; Tax Expert Witness:</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Providing Testimon=
y and
Computer Litigation Support</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Teaching, Services,
Research and Development</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>(Accounting - Basi=
c)</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Description/Object=
ives:</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>The workshop deals=
 with:
Rogue Wireless Access Points, Internal Threat Management, Vulnerability
Exploits Web, Intrusion Detection, Eaves Dropping AV, Surveillance Recording
Audit, On Demand Live Consulting, Internet Access Data points, Consumer
Electronics Gone Wild, IT (Information Technology) Governance, Log Forensics
Stealth Regulatory Compliance Audit Trails, Mobile Device Digital Consumer
Electronics Transcription Stenography, voice to text automation, Cell Phone
Video Cam Justice &amp; Court TV Shows Camera Imaging Distribution, Lawsuit
Incident Response, WWW Network URL TCP/IP HTTP, Stealth Data Intelligence
Office Accounting Information Systems Demos &quot;But-for/If&quot; Analytics
Metrics Trap Door Trojan Horses, Spying &amp; Due Diligence Enterprise Risk
&amp; Damage Assessment Market Rates &amp; Charges Malpractice &amp; Busine=
ss
Valuation &quot;Lost Profits&quot; Board of Directors Litigation Service
Confessions Acting Telling a Story Sound-<span class=3DSpellE>byte</span> T=
ips
&amp; Tricks Interrogate Terror Home-land Security Bribery Black-mail
Corruption &amp; Where is the Money Laundering. </span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Advance Preparatio=
n:</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Email and or call
presenters (arush@miami.edu, arushine@aol.com, (305) 666-7890) about cases,
articles, issues, or any relevant suggestions and/or materials, and/or ideas
for discussion and analysis during the workshop to presenters. Dr. Avi
Rushinek, University of Miami, Accounting Department, Jenkins 421, C. Gable=
s,
Fl, 33124 USA (Run)Air-Webs/Phone (Cell) U. Miami, 5250 University Drive,
C.I.S. Dept. Jenkins 421, C. Gables, Fl, 33124 (786)247-9327/7466 (Cell) Ac=
c.
Dept. 314 Jenkins, UM, C. Gables, Fl, 33124, USA.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://www.onafree=
.com/default.aspx</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://drjd.net/de=
fault.aspx</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://dvdu.org/de=
fault.aspx</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://moax.org/de=
fault.aspx</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>http://www.webjobn=
et.com</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Presenters:</span>=
</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Avi Rushinek, Univ=
ersity
of Miami</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Sara Rushinek, Uni=
versity
of Miami</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>__________________=
______________________</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Note: CPE fields o=
f study
are in parentheses</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><script language=3D"JavaScript1.2"  src=3D"/AM2008/scr=
ipts/navigation2.js" type=3D"text/javascript">
</script><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:=
#2F358F'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:=
#2F358F'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<div align=3Dcenter>

<table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpadding=3D0 wi=
dth=3D738
 style=3D'width:442.5pt;mso-cellspacing:0in;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-paddi=
ng-alt:
 0in 0in 0in 0in'>
 <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
  <td width=3D194 style=3D'width:116.25pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-fa=
mily:"Arial","sans-serif";
  color:#2F358F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id=3D"_x0000_i1032" type=3D"#_=
x0000_t75"
   alt=3D"" style=3D'width:116.4pt;height:97.2pt'/><![endif]--><![if !vml]>=
<img
  border=3D0 width=3D155 height=3D130
  src=3D"2-16-10_Thu_mht_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-prime_mor=
gages_cds_cdos_material_misstatements_files/image002.gif"
  v:shapes=3D"_x0000_i1032"><![endif]></span><span style=3D'font-family:"Co=
urier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
  <td width=3D544 style=3D'width:326.25pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
  <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-fa=
mily:"Arial","sans-serif";
  color:#2F358F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape id=3D"_x0000_i1033" type=3D"#_=
x0000_t75"
   alt=3D"" style=3D'width:326.4pt;height:97.2pt'/><![endif]--><![if !vml]>=
<img
  border=3D0 width=3D435 height=3D130
  src=3D"2-16-10_Thu_mht_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-prime_mor=
gages_cds_cdos_material_misstatements_files/image003.gif"
  v:shapes=3D"_x0000_i1033"><![endif]></span><span style=3D'font-family:"Co=
urier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:1;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes;height:300.0pt'>
  <td width=3D194 valign=3Dtop style=3D'width:116.25pt;padding:0in 0in 0in =
0in;
  height:300.0pt;background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;
  background-position-y:0%'>
  <div align=3Dcenter>
  <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpadding=3D0 =
width=3D138
   style=3D'width:82.5pt;mso-cellspacing:0in;mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padd=
ing-alt:
   0in 0in 0in 0in'>
   <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastrow:yes'>
    <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
    <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpadding=3D0
     align=3Dleft width=3D0 style=3D'width:0in;mso-cellspacing:0in;mso-yfti=
-tbllook:
     1184;mso-table-lspace:1.8pt;mso-table-rspace:1.8pt;mso-table-anchor-ve=
rtical:
     paragraph;mso-table-anchor-horizontal:column;mso-table-left:left;
     mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
     <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastrow:ye=
s'>
      <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
      <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D1 cellpadding=
=3D0
       align=3Dleft width=3D0 style=3D'width:0in;mso-cellspacing:.6pt;mso-y=
fti-tbllook:
       1184;mso-table-lspace:1.8pt;mso-table-rspace:1.8pt;mso-table-anchor-=
vertical:
       paragraph;mso-table-anchor-horizontal:column;mso-table-left:left;
       mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
       <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes'>
        <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
         mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
         <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastro=
w:
          yes'>
          <td nowrap style=3D'background:transparent;padding:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.=
0pt 3.0pt'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span
          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>Overview</span><span style=3D'font-family:"Courier N=
ew"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
          background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;background-=
position-y:
          0%'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
-autospace:
          none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#2F35=
8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i0arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1034" type=3D"#_x0000_=
t75"
           alt=3D"" style=3D'width:5.4pt;height:5.4pt'/><![endif]--><![if !=
vml]><img
          border=3D0 width=3D7 height=3D7
          src=3D"2-16-10_Thu_mht_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-p=
rime_morgages_cds_cdos_material_misstatements_files/image004.gif"
          v:shapes=3D"menu602d0p0i0arr"><![endif]></span><span style=3D'fon=
t-family:
          "Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
         </tr>
        </table>
        </div>
        </td>
       </tr>
       <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:1'>
        <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in;background-attachment:scroll;
        background-position-x:0%;background-position-y:0%'>
        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
         mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
         <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastro=
w:
          yes'>
          <td nowrap style=3D'background:transparent;padding:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.=
0pt 3.0pt'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span
          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>Registration</span><span style=3D'font-family:"Couri=
er New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
          background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;background-=
position-y:
          0%'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
-autospace:
          none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#2F35=
8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i1arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1035" type=3D"#_x0000_=
t75"
           alt=3D"" style=3D'width:5.4pt;height:5.4pt'/><![endif]--><![if !=
vml]><img
          border=3D0 width=3D7 height=3D7
          src=3D"2-16-10_Thu_mht_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-p=
rime_morgages_cds_cdos_material_misstatements_files/image004.gif"
          v:shapes=3D"menu602d0p0i1arr"><![endif]></span><span style=3D'fon=
t-family:
          "Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
         </tr>
        </table>
        </div>
        </td>
       </tr>
       <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:2'>
        <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in;background-attachment:scroll;
        background-position-x:0%;background-position-y:0%'>
        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
         mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
         <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastro=
w:
          yes'>
          <td nowrap style=3D'background:transparent;padding:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.=
0pt 3.0pt'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span
          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>Hotel&nbsp;Info</span><span style=3D'font-family:"Co=
urier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
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ns-serif";
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d:#5C70B5;
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          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
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 New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
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-autospace:
          none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#2F35=
8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i4arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1038" type=3D"#_x0000_=
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        background-position-x:0%;background-position-y:0%'>
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g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
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          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
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ew"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
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-autospace:
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          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
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 New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
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        <div align=3Dcenter>
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g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
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ns-serif";
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          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
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g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
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0pt 3.0pt'>
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          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>CTLA</span><span style=3D'font-family:"Courier New"'=
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          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
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position-y:
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          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
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        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
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0pt 3.0pt'>
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          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>CPE&nbsp;Info</span><span style=3D'font-family:"Cour=
ier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
          background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;background-=
position-y:
          0%'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
-autospace:
          none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#2F35=
8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i9arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1043" type=3D"#_x0000_=
t75"
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          v:shapes=3D"menu602d0p0i9arr"><![endif]></span><span style=3D'fon=
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       <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:10'>
        <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in;background-attachment:scroll;
        background-position-x:0%;background-position-y:0%'>
        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
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0pt 3.0pt'>
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          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>Placements</span><span style=3D'font-family:"Courier=
 New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
          background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;background-=
position-y:
          0%'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
-autospace:
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8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i10arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1044" type=3D"#_x0000=
_t75"
           alt=3D"" style=3D'width:5.4pt;height:5.4pt'/><![endif]--><![if !=
vml]><img
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       <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:11'>
        <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in;background-attachment:scroll;
        background-position-x:0%;background-position-y:0%'>
        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
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         <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastro=
w:
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0pt 3.0pt'>
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          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>Career&nbsp;Fair</span><span style=3D'font-family:"C=
ourier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
          background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;background-=
position-y:
          0%'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
-autospace:
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8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i11arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1045" type=3D"#_x0000=
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        <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in;background-attachment:scroll;
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        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
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w:
          yes'>
          <td nowrap style=3D'background:transparent;padding:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.=
0pt 3.0pt'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span
          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>Functions</span><span style=3D'font-family:"Courier =
New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
          background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;background-=
position-y:
          0%'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
-autospace:
          none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#2F35=
8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i12arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1046" type=3D"#_x0000=
_t75"
           alt=3D"" style=3D'width:5.4pt;height:5.4pt'/><![endif]--><![if !=
vml]><img
          border=3D0 width=3D7 height=3D7
          src=3D"2-16-10_Thu_mht_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-p=
rime_morgages_cds_cdos_material_misstatements_files/image004.gif"
          v:shapes=3D"menu602d0p0i12arr"><![endif]></span><span style=3D'fo=
nt-family:
          "Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
         </tr>
        </table>
        </div>
        </td>
       </tr>
       <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:13'>
        <td style=3D'padding:0in 0in 0in 0in;background-attachment:scroll;
        background-position-x:0%;background-position-y:0%'>
        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
         mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
         <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastro=
w:
          yes'>
          <td nowrap style=3D'background:transparent;padding:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.=
0pt 3.0pt'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span
          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>Submissions</span><span style=3D'font-family:"Courie=
r New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
          background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;background-=
position-y:
          0%'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
-autospace:
          none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#2F35=
8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i13arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1047" type=3D"#_x0000=
_t75"
           alt=3D"" style=3D'width:5.4pt;height:5.4pt'/><![endif]--><![if !=
vml]><img
          border=3D0 width=3D7 height=3D7
          src=3D"2-16-10_Thu_mht_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-p=
rime_morgages_cds_cdos_material_misstatements_files/image004.gif"
          v:shapes=3D"menu602d0p0i13arr"><![endif]></span><span style=3D'fo=
nt-family:
          "Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
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        background-position-x:0%;background-position-y:0%'>
        <div align=3Dcenter>
        <table class=3DMsoNormalTable border=3D0 cellspacing=3D0 cellpaddin=
g=3D0
         width=3D"100%" style=3D'width:100.0%;mso-cellspacing:0in;backgroun=
d:#5C70B5;
         mso-yfti-tbllook:1184;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 0in'>
         <tr style=3D'mso-yfti-irow:0;mso-yfti-firstrow:yes;mso-yfti-lastro=
w:
          yes'>
          <td nowrap style=3D'background:transparent;padding:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.=
0pt 3.0pt'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span
          style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Arial","sa=
ns-serif";
          color:white'>AAA&nbsp;Homepage</span><span style=3D'font-family:"=
Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
          <td width=3D9 style=3D'width:5.25pt;background:transparent;paddin=
g:3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt 3.0pt;
          background-attachment:scroll;background-position-x:0%;background-=
position-y:
          0%'>
          <p class=3DMsoNormal align=3Dright style=3D'text-align:right;text=
-autospace:
          none'><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#2F35=
8F'><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
           id=3D"menu602d0p0i14arr" o:spid=3D"_x0000_i1048" type=3D"#_x0000=
_t75"
           alt=3D"" style=3D'width:5.4pt;height:.6pt'/><![endif]--><![if !v=
ml]><img
          border=3D0 width=3D7 height=3D1
          src=3D"2-16-10_Thu_mht_Uncooking_the_books_from_toxic_paper_sub-p=
rime_morgages_cds_cdos_material_misstatements_files/image005.gif"
          v:shapes=3D"menu602d0p0i14arr"><![endif]></span><span style=3D'fo=
nt-family:
          "Courier New"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>
          </td>
         </tr>
        </table>
        </div>
        </td>
       </tr>
      </table>
      </td>
     </tr>
    </table>
    <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:12.0pt;
    line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'><script languag=
e=3D"javascript1.2"  type=3D"text/javascript">
stsPop(st_ms[0].ps[0]);stshP(st_ms[0].ps[0]);st_ms[0].ps[0].lock=3D1
    </script><script language=3D"javascript1.2"  src=3D"http://aaahq.org/So=
think/stwinels.js" defer type=3D"text/javascript">
    </script><o:p></o:p></span></p>
    </td>
   </tr>
  </table>
  </div>
  </td>
  <td width=3D529 valign=3Dtop style=3D'width:317.25pt;padding:0in 0in 0in =
0in;
  height:300.0pt'>
  <h3>CPE Session 11: Saturday, August 2, 1:00 PM &#8211; 4:00 PM</h3>
  <h3>Role Play Forensic Accounting, Auditing &amp; Tax Expert Witness:<br>
  Providing Testimony and Computer Litigation Support<br>
  Teaching, Services, Research and Development</h3>
  <h4>(Accounting - Basic)</h4>
  <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>De=
scription/Objectives:</span></strong><br>
  The workshop deals with: Rogue Wireless Access Points, Internal Threat
  Management, Vulnerability Exploits Web, Intrusion Detection, Eaves Droppi=
ng
  AV, Surveillance Recording Audit, On Demand Live Consulting, Internet Acc=
ess
  Data points, Consumer Electronics Gone Wild, IT (Information Technology)
  Governance, Log Forensics Stealth Regulatory Compliance Audit Trails, Mob=
ile
  Device Digital Consumer Electronics Transcription Stenography, voice to t=
ext
  automation, Cell Phone Video Cam Justice &amp; Court TV Shows Camera Imag=
ing
  Distribution, Lawsuit Incident Response, WWW Network URL TCP/IP HTTP, Ste=
alth
  Data Intelligence Office Accounting Information Systems Demos &quot;But-f=
or/If&quot;
  Analytics Metrics Trap Door Trojan Horses, Spying &amp; Due Diligence
  Enterprise Risk &amp; Damage Assessment Market Rates &amp; Charges
  Malpractice &amp; Business Valuation &quot;Lost Profits&quot; Board of
  Directors Litigation Service Confessions Acting Telling a Story Sound-<sp=
an
  class=3DSpellE>byte</span> Tips &amp; Tricks Interrogate Terror Home-land
  Security Bribery Black-mail Corruption &amp; Where is the Money Launderin=
g. </p>
  <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Ad=
vance
  Preparation:</span></strong><br>
  Email and or call presenters (<a href=3D"mailto:arush@miami.edu">arush@mi=
ami.edu</a>,
  <a href=3D"mailto:arushine@aol.com">arushine@aol.com</a>, (305) 666-7890)=
 about
  cases, articles, issues, or any relevant suggestions and/or materials, an=
d/or
  ideas for discussion and analysis during the workshop to presenters. Dr. =
Avi
  Rushinek, University of Miami, Accounting Department, Jenkins 421, C. Gab=
les,
  Fl, 33124 USA (Run)Air-Webs/Phone (Cell) U. Miami, 5250 University Drive,
  C.I.S. Dept. Jenkins 421, C. Gables, Fl, 33124 (786)247-9327/7466 (Cell) =
Acc.
  Dept. 314 Jenkins, UM, C. Gables, Fl, 33124, USA.<br>
  <br>
  <a href=3D"http://www.onafree.com/default.aspx">http://www.onafree.com/de=
fault.aspx</a><br>
  <a href=3D"http://drjd.net/default.aspx">http://drjd.net/default.aspx</a>=
<br>
  <a href=3D"http://dvdu.org/default.aspx">http://dvdu.org/default.aspx</a>=
<br>
  <a href=3D"http://moax.org/default.aspx">http://moax.org/default.aspx</a>=
<br>
  <a href=3D"http://www.webjobnet.com">http://www.webjobnet.com</a></p>
  <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>Pr=
esenters:</span></strong><br>
  Avi Rushinek, University of Miami<br>
  Sara Rushinek, University of Miami</p>
  <div class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";
  color:#2F358F'>
  <hr size=3D2 width=3D"33%" align=3Dleft>
  </span></div>
  <p><strong><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial Unicode MS","sans-serif"'>No=
te:</span></strong>
  CPE fields of study are in parentheses</p>
  </td>
 </tr>
</table>

</div>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>Rushinek, A. and R=
ushinek,
S.&nbsp; &#8220;How to Use Cases, Role Playing and Mock Trials in the
Classroom: The Role of the Accounting and Business Educator with the Aid of=
 New
Computer Media,&#8221; American Accounting Association Annual Meeting 2008,
August 6, 2008, Anaheim, California <a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/TeachCurr/newsletters/Summer2008.pdf">http://aaahq=
.org/TeachCurr/newsletters/Summer2008.pdf</a></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<pre style=3D'background:white'><em><span style=3D'font-family:"Courier New=
"'>Rushinek,&nbsp; A. and&nbsp; Rushinek S. &quot;</span></em><span
style=3D'font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:black'>&quot;Tele-Medicin=
e's&nbsp;SMART Surveillance AV HD IP Security Network Camera Audit Systems,=
 '&quot; &nbsp;</span><tt><span
style=3D'color:black'>Jay Weiss Center for Social Medicine and Health Equit=
y, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, 2009 JWC SMART Forum, Loi=
s Pope LIFE Center, April 24,2009, Miami, Florida.</span></tt> <tt><span
style=3D'color:black'><a href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2009/Emerging.cfm">http=
://aaahq.org/AM2009/Emerging.cfm</a></span></tt></pre>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><tt><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;line-height:115%;
mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;color:black'>&nbsp;</span></tt></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><em><span style=3D'font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'=
>Rushinek,&nbsp;
A. and&nbsp; Rushinek S. &quot;IFRS Compliant Real-Time 2-Way AV (Audio/Vid=
eo)
HD (High Definition) Recording Audit of Effective Learning Strategies for
Forensic IT Networks of Expert Witnesses Research that focuses on Investiga=
tive
Accounting Testimony, &amp; Computer Litigation Support,&quot;&nbsp; </span=
></em><span
style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#47597F'>2009 AAA American
Accounting Association, Annual Meeting Proceedings, August 1-5, 2009, New Y=
ork,
New York.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:=
#47597F'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-=
family:
"Times New Roman","serif"'>Rushinek, A. &amp; Rushinek, S., (2009, </span><=
span
style=3D'color:black'>August</span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-hei=
ght:
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>). &quot;IFRS Compliant Real-Ti=
me
2-Way AV (Audio/Video) HD (High Definition) Recording Audit of Effective
Learning Strategies for Forensic IT Networks of Expert Witnesses Research t=
hat
Focuses on Investigative Accounting Testimony, &amp; Computer Litigation
Support, Effective Learning Strategies&quot; 2009 </span><span
style=3D'color:black'>American Accounting Association (AAA) Annual Meeting =
NY,
NY., Monday August 3, 2009, retrieved 10-27-2009 </span><span style=3D'font=
-size:
12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";color:red'><a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2009/ELS01.cfm">http://aaahq.org/AM2009/ELS01.cf=
m</a></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";col=
or:#47597F'>IFRS
(International Financial Reporting Standards) Compliant Real-Time 2-Way AV
(Audio/Video) HD (High Definition) Recording Audit of Effective Learning
Strategies or Forensic IT Networks of Expert Witnesses Research that Focuse=
s on
Investigative Accounting Testimony, &amp; Computer Litigation Support
Presenters:</span></b><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color=
:#47597F'>
Avi Rushinek, University of Miami; Sara Rushinek, University of Miami</span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><i><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";col=
or:#47597F'>Description:</span></i><span
style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#47597F'> Effective Learning
Strategies (ELS) that repurposes stand-up traditional classroom instruction=
 AV
(Audio Video) surveillance recorded to a DVD, for real-time auditing, dista=
nce
learning, CPE courseware, as well as Tutor CDs and DVDs. As soon as the cla=
ss
is over, the instructor's PC uploads the AV session to Google Video, and to=
 an
WWW DVD-burner.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><em><span style=3D'font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'=
>Rushinek,&nbsp;
A. and&nbsp; Rushinek S. &quot;Cell Phone Real Time Forensic Audit Of
Tele-Medicine e-Bill Records over the WWW AV IP Network Security Surveillan=
ce
Reconnaissance PTZ Cam Systems, CCTV &amp; DVD-Recording: Repurposed Stand-=
Up
Instructions for Distance or Blended Education and CPE,&quot;&nbsp; </span>=
</em><span
style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#47597F'>2009 AAA American
Accounting Association, Annual Meeting Proceedings, August 1-5, 2009, New Y=
ork,
New York.</span><em><span style=3D'font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'> <a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2009/Emerging.cfm"><span style=3D'font-style:nor=
mal'>http://aaahq.org/AM2009/Emerging.cfm</span></a></span></em></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><em><span style=3D'font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'=
>&nbsp;</span></em></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><em><span style=3D'font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'=
>&nbsp;</span></em></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-=
family:
"Times New Roman","serif"'>Rushinek, A. &amp; Rushinek, S., (2009, </span><=
span
style=3D'color:black'>August</span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-hei=
ght:
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>). &quot;Cell Phone Real Time
Forensic Audit of Tele-Medicine e-Bill Records over the WWW AV IP Network
Security Surveillance Reconnaissance PTZ (Pan Tilt &amp; Zoom) Cam Systems,
CCTV (Closed Circuit TV) &amp; DVD-Recording: Repurposed Stand-Up Instructi=
ons
for Distance or Blended Education and CPE,</span> <span style=3D'font-size:=
12.0pt;
line-height:115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>Emerging and Innova=
tive
Research Session&quot; 2009 </span><span style=3D'color:black'>American
Accounting Association (AAA) Annual Meeting NY, NY., Tuesday August 4, 2009,
retrieved 10-27-2009 </span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115=
%;
font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";color:red'><a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2009/Emerging.cfm">http://aaahq.org/AM2009/Emerg=
ing.cfm</a></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><b><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";col=
or:#47597F'>Cell
Phone Real Time Forensic Audit of Tele-Medicine e-Bill Records over the WWW=
 AV
IP Network Security Surveillance Reconnaissance PTZ Cam Systems, CCTV &amp;
DVD-Recording: Repurposed Stand-Up Instructions for Distance or Blended
Education and CPE (Continuing Professional Education) Presenters:</span></b=
><span
style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#47597F'> Avi Rushinek,
University of Miami; Sara Rushinek, University of Miami, D<i>escription:</i>
This is a study of cell phone real time auditing. To complement the traditi=
onal
after-the-fact auditing, this case study deals with real-time auditing.
Meaning, that the auditor watches the activities in real-time. It is using =
the
World Wide Web WWW internet instead of limiting the access to the intranet;
adding profitable online distance learning.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><em><span style=3D'font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"'=
>Rushinek,&nbsp;
A. and&nbsp; Rushinek S. &quot;</span></em><i><span style=3D'font-family:"A=
rial","sans-serif";
color:#47597F'>Health Care Forensic Information Technology Networks of Expe=
rt
(FITN) Witnesses Teams Researching Investigative Tax, Accounting &amp; Audi=
ting
(FIA) Forecasts Archives of Testimony, Assessment, Publishing, Teaching,
Service, &amp; WWW Multi-Media Consulting</span><em><span style=3D'font-fam=
ily:
"Calibri","sans-serif"'>,&quot;&nbsp; </span></em></i><span style=3D'font-f=
amily:
"Arial","sans-serif";color:#47597F'>2009 AAA American Accounting Associatio=
n,
Annual Meeting Proceedings, August 1-5, 2009, New York, New York.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:=
#47597F'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-=
family:
"Times New Roman","serif"'>Rushinek, A. &amp; Rushinek, S., (2009, </span><=
span
style=3D'color:black'>August</span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-hei=
ght:
115%;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'>). &quot;Health Care Forensic
Information Technology Networks of Expert (FITN) Witnesses Teams Researching
Investigative Tax, Accounting and Auditing (FIA) Forecasts Archives of
Testimony, Assessment, Publishing, Teaching, Service, and WWW Multi-Media
Consulting&quot; 2009 </span><span style=3D'color:black'>American Accounting
Association (AAA) Annual Meeting NY, NY., Tuesday August 4, 2009, retrieved
10-27-2009 </span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-fam=
ily:
"Times New Roman","serif";color:red'><a
href=3D"http://aaahq.org/AM2009/Emerging.cfm">http://aaahq.org/AM2009/Emerg=
ing.cfm</a>
</span><b><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#47597F'>He=
alth
Care Forensic Information Technology Networks of Expert (FITN) Witnesses Te=
ams
Researching Investigative Tax, Accounting and Auditing (FIA) Forecasts Arch=
ives
of Testimony, Assessment, Publishing, Teaching, Service, and WWW Multi-Media
Consulting, Presenters:</span></b><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-=
serif";
color:#47597F'> Avi Rushinek, University of Miami; Sara Rushinek, Universit=
y of
Miami, </span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><i><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";col=
or:#47597F'>Description:</span></i><span
style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:#47597F'> Emerging and Inno=
vative
Research highlights promising Forensic IT (Information Technology) Networks=
 of
Expert (FITN) Witnesses Research that focuses on Forensic Investigative
Accounting and Auditing (FIA) research ideas. Authors describe their work in
progress soliciting others to research it and help them.</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:"Arial","sans-serif";color:=
#47597F'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-family:Courier'>&nbsp;</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'>//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;tab-stops:center 3.25in;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:no=
ne'><span
style=3D'font-size:12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-=
family:
ArialMT'>Avi Rushinek<span style=3D'mso-tab-count:1'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&=
nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbs=
p;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&=
nbsp;&nbsp; </span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>University
of Miami,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Coral
Gables, Fl 33124, USA<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>E-mail:
arush@miami.edu<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>E-mail:
arushine@aol.com<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
12.5pt;font-family:"ArialMT","sans-serif";mso-bidi-font-family:ArialMT'>Sara
Rushinek*<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Department
of Accounting, School of Business Administration,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>1120
Stanford Drive, Coral Gables Fl 33124, USA<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Fax:
305.666.7890<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>E-mail:
s.rushinek@miami.edu<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>*Corresponding
author<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";mso-b=
idi-font-family:
TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>Abstract: </span></b><span style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>This
paper studies the sub-prime mortgages, credit default swaps<o:p></o:p></spa=
n></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(CDS)
and collateralised synthetic obligations (CSOs) cooking the books of the<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
services industries at a global level. The paper uses the case of the<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Bank
of Barclays to develop a methodology of uncooking the books from<o:p></o:p>=
</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>material
misstatements of the financial industry. This research is about the<o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>current
sub-prime markets crisis and shows how sub-prime mortgages, CDS<o:p></o:p><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
CSOs overstated the revenues of the financial services industries leading t=
o<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
stock markets meltdown of October 2008. The paper attempts to develop<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>regression
models and software that detect fraud involved in the mortgages<o:p></o:p><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>crisis
and a method for fraud &#8216;finger print&#8217; definition. This paper pr=
ovides
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>readers
with fundamental information about firms and auditors&#8217; misconduct.<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>While
this study researches primarily in the area of international economics and<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>accounting,
it also deals with computer information systems automation and<o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>specifically
forensic accounting, expert witness testimony and computer<o:p></o:p></span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>litigation
support.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Copyright
&copy; 200x Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";mso-b=
idi-font-family:
TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>Keywords:<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t1]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
up to 10 keywords.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";mso-b=
idi-font-family:
TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>Reference </span></b><span style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>to
this paper should be made as follows: Rushinek, A. and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Rushinek,
S. (xxxx) &#8216;Uncooking the books from toxic paper sub-prime<o:p></o:p><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>mortgages
CDS and CSOs material misstatements of the financial services<o:p></o:p></s=
pan></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>industry:
a Barclays Bank PLC case study&#8217;, </span><i><span style=3D'font-size:8=
.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNe=
wRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Int.
J. Economics and Accounting</span></i><span style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;font-f=
amily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>,<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Vol.
X, No. Y, pp.000&#8211;000.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";mso-b=
idi-font-family:
TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>Biographical notes: </span></b><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Avi
Rushinek is an Accounting Professor at the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>University
of Miami. He obtained his PhD from The University of Texas at<o:p></o:p></s=
pan></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Austin.
His research interests include e-commerce security and controls, health<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>insurance
portability and accountability (HIPAA), Sarbanes-Oxley and Basel II<o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>compliance
forensic accounting, web marketing ROI, e-learning and internet<o:p></o:p><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>domain
copyright, trademarks and patents ROI.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>2
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Sara
Rushinek is a Professor of Computer Information Systems at the<o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>University
of Miami. She obtained her PhD from The University of Texas at<o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Austin.
His research interests include business intelligence and data mining for<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>decision-making,
electronic stock trading; e-learning, computer forensics and<o:p></o:p></sp=
an></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>e-commerce
security of enterprise resource management.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>1 Introduction<o:p></o:p></spa=
n></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>It
is evident that past stock market meltdowns could not rely on financial
reports. The<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8216;blame
game&#8217; once again appeared after the fact. Reminiscent of the fall of
Enron, lax<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>auditing
and management misconduct allegations were reported. Again, it seemed the<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>problem
was the failure of financial reports to report a crucial fact: a
company&#8217;s actual<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
condition.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
mortgage credit crisis evolved into a worldwide financial panic in 2007.
Feeding<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
panic was a lack of information about which lenders were at most risk, how =
many<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8216;toxic&#8217;
loans exist and where the next surprise would emerge.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Michael
Missal, a US Bankruptcy Court examiner accused KPMG of lax auditing and<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>some
former New Century executives could be legally liable for millions of dolla=
rs
in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>damages
because of their conduct. Missal (2008) states in his report that
&#8220;&#8230;Driven by a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8216;brazen
obsession&#8217; with generating sub-prime mortgages, Irvine&#8217;s New
Century Financial<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Corp.
engaged in improper accounting that overstated its profit and allowed top<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>executives
to reap millions of dollars in inflated or undeserved bonuses&#8221;.<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Michael
J. Missal&#8217;s report said senior managers &#8216;turned a blind eye&#82=
17;
to the &#8216;ticking<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>time
bomb&#8217; created by the high-risk lending in 2005 and 2006. At the same
time, Missal<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(2008)
reports that &#8220;New Century&#8217;s auditor, KPMG, contributed to the
problems by<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>failing
to exercise due care in reviewing its books, leading to material misstateme=
nts
in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>New
Century&#8217;s financial reports&#8221;.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>This
was a sweeping accusation against one of the largest accounting firms that<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>improper
and imprudent practices by a once high-flying mortgage company were<o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>condoned
and enabled by its auditors. KPMG denied the accusations in the report, whi=
ch<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>was
commissioned by the US Trustee overseeing the New Century bankruptcy<o:p></=
o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(Bajaj,
2008).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>2 Credit default swaps (CDS)<o=
:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>At
the time of the financial crisis Monks (2008) wrote that mortgage bailouts
could<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>trigger
massive credit default swap settlements. The government takeover of Fannie =
Mae<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
Freddie Mac could trigger the largest credit default swap settlement ever.
Actual<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>payments
could be limited, however, as a result of the relatively high value of the<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>mortgage
underwriters&#8217; bonds. Investors may be forced to settle contracts cove=
ring
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>mortgage
giants&#8217; $1.6 trillion in outstanding debt because the government seiz=
ure<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>constitutes
a credit event that triggers the payment or delivery of their bonds. The<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>International
Swaps and Derivatives Association announced that it would establish a<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>protocol
to facilitate the settlement of CDS trades involving Fannie Mae and Freddie=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Mac.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>3<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Monks
(2008) reported that J.P. Morgan analyst Eric Beinstein said that &#8220;th=
is
will<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>likely
be the largest CDS credit event in terms of the amount of CDS contracts<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>outstanding.
The settlement process will likely take 30 days, with investors cashing the=
ir<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>CDS
contracts at a price established through an auction process. Payouts could =
be<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>limited,
though, because most analysts believe CDS covering the mortgage
companies&#8217;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>senior
debt will be settled&#8221;. In a cash CDS settlement, buyers are paid the
difference<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>between
the par value and market value of the debt obligation.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.1 Fannie, Freddie CDS may =
be
settled<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Biggadike
and Harrington (2008) write that &#8211; &#8220;Investors may be forced to
settle contracts<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>protecting
more than $1.4 trillion of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bonds against default=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>after
the U.S. seized control of the companies in a bid to bolster the housing
market.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(Thirteen
&#8216;major&#8217; dealers of credit-default swaps agreed
&#8216;unanimously&#8217; that the rescue<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>constitutes
a credit event triggering payment or delivery of the companies&#8217; bonds,
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>International
Swaps and Derivatives Association said in a memo obtained by Bloomberg<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>News.
Market makers for the privately traded contracts will discuss how to settle
them in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>a
conference call. The market is not experienced at settling a credit event f=
or a
name of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>this
size, so it is a bit of an unknown. A settlement likely would be the larges=
t in
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>market&#8217;s
decade-long history. Credit-default swaps on Fannie and Freddie have been<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>among
the most actively traded the past few months, according to reports from bro=
ker<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>GFI
Group Inc. Both companies also are among 125 companies in the benchmark Mar=
kit<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>CDX
North America Investment Grade Index, the most actively traded contract in
credit<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>markets,
which investors use to speculate on corporate creditworthiness or to hedge<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>against
losses&#8221;.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.2 Conservatorship is a cre=
dit
event Barclays PLC analysts note to clients<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Harrington
and Unmack (2008) report that &#8220;We believe conservatorship is a credit
event,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Barclays
PLC analysts Vince Breitenbach and Jeff Meli said in a note to clients.
Barclays<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>is
a member of the ISDA. US default protection costs as measured by the Markit=
 CDX<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>North
America Investment Grade Index will also decline. Harrington and Unmack (20=
08)<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>to
write that &#8220;No one knows exactly who has what at stake because
there&#8217;s no central<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>exchange
or system for reporting trades. Sellers are required to post collateral, or
pledge<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>assets,
to the buyer of protection, known as the counterparty, on the other side of=
 the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>trade
if the value of their positions declines.&#8221;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Hedge
funds, insurance companies and banks typically buy and sell credit protecti=
on,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>which
is used either to insure a bond against default or as a bet against the
company&#8217;s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ability
to pay its debt. Some funds may be forced to dump assets to meet the paymen=
t<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>demands
if they have not hedged, But fund managers or hedge funds, once they have<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>used
their cash, have only one option: to sell assets.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>According
to Harrington and Unmack (2008) the failures of Lehman, once the fourth<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>largest
securities firm, and Seattle-based Washington Mutual Inc. as well as the<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>government
takeovers of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Iceland&#8217;s biggest banks have=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provided
the ten-year-old CDS market with its biggest test to date.<o:p></o:p></span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>In
the same article by Harrington and Unmack (2008) cited James Pickel, the he=
ad
of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
International Swaps and Derivatives Association as stating that CDS contrac=
ts
did not<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>cause
any firm to fail, the underlying cause of problems that has affected firms =
is
the risk<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>4
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>that
they chose to take on. CDS are financial instruments that can be based on b=
onds
and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>loans.
They pay the buyer face value in exchange for the underlying securities or =
the
cash<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>equivalent
should a borrower fail to adhere to its debt agreements.<o:p></o:p></span><=
/p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>As
reported by Herman and Shields (2008) the bankruptcy court approved the sal=
e of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Lehman
broker dealer to Barclays. They proceed to report: &#8220;Questions raised
about<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Lehman&#8217;s
transfer of assets among its businesses in the days before its bankruptcy
filing<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>did
not interfere with swift action by the bankruptcy court to approve the sale=
 of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>substantially
all of the assets of Lehman Brothers, Inc., to Barclays Capital. The
court&#8217;s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>decision
followed a marathon eleven-hour hearing in a packed Manhattan courtroom<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>where
attorneys from the SEC and other government agencies successfully supported=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Lehman&#8217;s
argument that swift approval of the deal was in the national interest. The<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>national
interest apparently is the prompt transfer of the broker-dealer&#8217;s
customer<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>accounts
instead of a lengthy brokerage liquidation process. The transfer of most re=
tail<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>accounts,
which hold over one hundred billion dollars in assets, is expected to be<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>completed
within days. In one of the last liquidations of a major securities firm, wh=
en<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Drexel
collapsed in 1990, it was weeks before customer accounts were transferred t=
o a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>new
firm. The expeditious transfer of Lehman&#8217;s assets also avoids disrupt=
ion
of capital<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>markets
because securities transactions will continue to be completed and
Lehman&#8217;s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>counterparties
can confidently continue to do business with the firm&#8221;.<o:p></o:p></s=
pan></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.3 Barclays&#8217; auditors
report that the financial statements are free from<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>material misstatements<o:p><=
/o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>At
the time of the mortgage crisis, the auditors were still stating that the
financial<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>statements
are free from material misstatements. According to Barclays PLC annual<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>report
of 2007, quoting from the Report of Independent Registered Public Accountin=
g<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Firm
to the Board of Directors and Shareholders of Barclays Bank PLC, the
accountants<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>stated:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8220;In
our opinion, financial statements are free of $$ material misstatement.<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>PricewaterhouseCoopers
LLP, Chartered Accountants and Registered Auditors,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>London,
United Kingdom, 10th March 2008, proceed in the &#8216;Internal control&#82=
17;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>section
of Barclays report they repeat the assertion that they provide<o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8216;reasonable
assurance against $$ material misstatement or loss&#8217;.&#8221;<o:p></o:p=
></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>On
page 148 of Barclays, Annual Report 2007, the auditors use the same boilerp=
late<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>stating
that: &#8220;Internal control systems obtain reasonable assurance about whe=
ther
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
statements are free of material $$ misstatement&#8221; (Barclays, 2007).<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.4 Implying that CDOs are s=
afe
assets and understating the toxic inherent risk<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>In
the &#8216;corporate bonds&#8217; section Barclays Annual Report of 2007 it
states that &#8220;Corporate<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>bonds
are generally valued using observable quoted prices or recently executed<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>transactions.
Where observable price quotations are not available, the fair value is<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>determined
based on cash flow models where significant inputs may include yield curves=
,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>bond
or single name credit default swap spreads&#8221;. They never mention any of
the reports<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>on
the internet concerning the toxic paper and the debate in the press.<o:p></=
o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>In
the &#8216;Derivatives&#8217; section of Barclays 2007 annual report, furth=
er
explanations are<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>that...
&#8220;Derivative contracts can be exchange traded or over the counter (OTC=
).
OTC<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>5<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>derivative
contracts include forward, swap and option contracts related to interest ra=
tes,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>bonds,
foreign currencies, credit standing of reference entities, equity prices, f=
und
levels,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>commodity
prices or indices on these assets. For many pricing models, there is no<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>material
subjectivity because the methodologies employed do not necessitate signific=
ant<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>judgment
and the pricing inputs are observed from actively quoted markets, as is the
case<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>for
generic interest rate swaps and option markets. In the case of more establi=
shed<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>derivative
products, the pricing models used are widely accepted and used by the other=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>market
participants&#8221;, implying that they are safe assets and understating the
toxic<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>inherent
risk.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.5 Misrepresent reality by
applying &#8216;Monte Carlo simulation is used rather<o:p></o:p></span></i>=
</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>than analytic
approximation&#8217; where totally unrealistic assumptions can<o:p></o:p></=
span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>overstate the performance and
understate the toxic paper true risk exposure<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>In
Barclays (2007) Annual Report in the &#8216;Structured credit
derivatives&#8217; section of the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>report
states that: &#8220;Collateralised synthetic obligations (CSOs) are structu=
red credit<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>derivatives
which reference the loss profile of a portfolio of loans, debts or syntheti=
c<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>underlyings.
The reference asset can be a corporate credit or an asset backed credit. Fo=
r<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>CSOs
that reference corporate credits an analytical model is used. For CSOs on a=
sset<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>backed
underlyings, due to the path dependent nature of a CSO on an amortising<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>portfolio
a Monte Carlo simulation is used rather than analytic approximation. The<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>expected
loss probability for each reference credit in the portfolio is derived from=
 the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>single
name credit default swap spread curve and in addition, for ABS references, =
a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>prepayment
rate assumption.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>A
simulation is then used to compute survival time which allows us to calcula=
te
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>marginal
loss over each payment period by reference to estimated recovery rates.<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Significant
inputs include prepayment rates, cumulative default rates, and recovery<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>rates.&#8221;
Again, they misrepresent reality by applying &#8216;Monte Carlo simulation =
is
used<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>rather
than analytic approximation&#8217; where totally unrealistic assumptions can
overstate<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
performance and understate the toxic paper true risk exposure In the
&#8216;derivatives&#8217;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>section
the report continues to confuse the issues and understate the risk by saying
that<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8220;Derivative
contracts can be exchange traded or over the counter (OTC). OTC derivative<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>contracts
include forward, swap and option contracts related to interest rates, bonds=
,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>foreign
currencies, credit standing of reference entities, equity prices, fund leve=
ls,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>commodity
prices or indices on these assets&#8221; (Barclays, 2007).<o:p></o:p></span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>So
one can see, history does seem to repeat itself. Financial reporting could =
not<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>always
portray the financial health of the markets. Sub-prime mortgages, CDS and C=
SOs<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>overstated
the revenues of the financial services industries leading to the stock mark=
ets<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>meltdown
of October 2008.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.6 Net Sales/total assets
estimating 10% inflated net sales and receivable, to<o:p></o:p></span></i><=
/p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>increase gross profit and st=
ock
market values: a simulated banking fraud<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>software case study<o:p></o:=
p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.6.1 Overview<o:p></o:p></s=
pan></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>This
study finds the ratios net sales/total assets, SG and A/sales and net
sales/employees<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>as
the best predictor percent differenced financial ratios (BP%DFR) and most
effective in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>6
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>constructing
a fraud cost model. These BP%DFR variables are estimating 10% inflated<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>net
sales and receivables, to increase gross profit and stock market values fra=
ud
value.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
use these variables to build a regression model. This is a case study of
fBarclays<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Bank
PLC (f =3D fictitiously simulated fraud, contrary to r =3D real) and the co=
mmercial<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>banks.
We decompose fraud values into fixed fraud (FF), variable fraud (VF) and th=
eir<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sum
mixed fraud (MF), building a regression model for each component. Thus, we<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>develop
a cost function (CF) for each component, fixed fraud cost function (FFCF),<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>variable
fraud cost fraud (VFCF) and mixed fraud cost function (MFCF).<o:p></o:p></s=
pan></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
simulated fraud (SF) of the net sales, which is the primary (1st) account. =
We<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>balance
this 1st account against the receivables account, the 2nd account. The FF
remains<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fixed
starting from the 1st period, 12/31/85, to the last period, 12/31/94, at
$1,318,800.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
have calculated the FF as greater than 10% of the 1st primary SF account or=
 1%
of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>net
sales. Add the FF to the VF and you get the MF for the last year $2,637,600.
Add this<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>MF
to the initial balance of the 1st account, the real account balance. This r=
NET
SALES<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>balances
$13,188,000, for the last period of this study. This way, you get the phony=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(f
=3D fraudulent) balance of 1st account, fNET SALES, $15,825,600. Likewise, =
for
the 2nd<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>balancing
account, start with the real balance, (r prefixed account), $115,356,000,<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>combine
the SF, $2,637,600 and you get the phony value (f prefixed) of the<o:p></o:=
p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fRECEIVABLES
balancing the SF at $117,993,600.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t2]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>reconstruct
the sentence to make the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>intended
meaning clear to readers.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
difference (deduct) the fNET SALES (fraudulent, post SF) from the, rNET<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>SALES
(real, pre SF), calculating the SF dollar values. Likewise, we difference a=
ll
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
ratios (%DFR), to identify the fraud drivers. We regress the SF dollar valu=
es
on<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
%DFR, to discover the best [highest R-square (RS)] predictor percent
differenced<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
ratios (BP%DFR). In this case, these (BP%DFR) include: net sales/total asse=
ts,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>SG
and A/sales and net sales/employees.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.6.2 Introduction of %DFR<o=
:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>According
to new securities legislation, auditors will need to report more quickly th=
an
at<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>present
any suspicion of fraud. A tougher approach is also coming from the auditing=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>standards
board of the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants<o:p></o:p><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(AICPA,
1988). The new standard will require external auditors to be more aggressiv=
e in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>not
only reporting but unearthing fraud and faulty financial statements. Failur=
e to
comply<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>with
the institute&#8217;s measure will include civil penalties and possible los=
s of
a CPA&#8217;s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>license.
These proposed standards will have auditors spotting higher risk of fraud t=
o<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>develop
specific plans to eliminate that risk. The board has been considering
stiffening<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>auditing
standards for several years as research showed that current standards were =
not<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>tough
enough on discovering major frauds (Berton, 1996). Congress has also
considering<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>a
bill would create a Financial Services Oversight Council made up of the
Treasury<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>secretary,
the Federal Reserve chairman and heads of regulatory agencies to monitor th=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
markets for potential threats to the US system. It would identify firms and=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>activities
that should be subject to heightened standards, including requirements that
they<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>place
more money in reserve. Companies would have to plan for their own demise,<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>detailing
how they would be dismantled if they failed (Kuhnhenn, 2009).<o:p></o:p></s=
pan></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>This
study defines the %DFR as a predictor variable for estimating the value of
fraud.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
are developing several theories and applying other theories to design this =
study.
The<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>reversed
accounting theory (RAT) contends that to discover fraud, we have to go from=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
final financial statements, in reverse, to the original fraudulent transact=
ion.
To pick<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>7<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
proper methodology, we are applying activity based costing (ABC) to RAT and
fraud,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>developing
a derivation of ABC, activity based fraud (ABF). ABF contends that like any=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>other
cost, fraud originates from some activities. Since we do not know what thes=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>activities
are, we could use highly correlated surrogates to these activities to act as
fraud<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>drivers.
These %DFR are such drivers.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
intend to supplement existing expert systems (ES) software that can
discriminate<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>between
fraudulent and fraud free companies, but cannot pinpoint the amounts and th=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>accounts.
Integrating such a model into these ES, will extend their abilities beyond<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>current
technology. Such extension will enable the ES to quantify the fraud and flag
its<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sources
(accounts). The supplementary nature of model we develop explains its<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>limitations.
This model is not for discovering fraudulent companies, since it will be<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>redundant
to the existing ES. Thus, we optimise it for a relevant range, that outside=
 the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>vicinity
of the origin, where both the %DFR and the fraud approach a value of zero.<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Therefore,
we hypothesise that the intercept will be statistically insignificant about=
 the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>origin,
which it turns out to be. In contrast to the insignificance of the intercep=
t,
we<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>hypothesise
that the entire model will be significant, as well as at least one PERCENT.=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Indeed,
the analysis of variance (ANOVA) confirms our expectations, rejecting the n=
ull<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>hypothesis
that the model is insignificant and that the regression coefficients are eq=
ual
to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>zero.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Since
we intend to use it ultimately on a fraud suspect (a company that ES has<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>identified),
we refer to that company as the focus company. In contrast, the industry or=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>competitors&#8217;
ratio averages constitute a fraud free peer review group (PRG). We calculat=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
percentage as the ratios of the focus less the peers divided by the peers.
These<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>assumptions
that fraud is the single difference between the focus and the peers highlig=
ht<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
limitations of this approach. These limitations exclude heterogeneous
industries<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>where
companies are not very similar, as well as countries where fraud (e.g., bri=
bes)
is<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>part
of doing business and generally accepted accounting principles and auditing=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>standards
(GAAP/S) are rare.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
search for the ratios that will maximise the correlation between the %DFR, =
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>predictor
variable(s) and the SF, the predicted variable. We find that these ratios c=
an
help<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>in
auditing, detecting and deterring fraud, as well as help develop rules for =
the
ES<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>software
for analytical review (ARES). We apply it to one company and one industry, =
but<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>design
it to be more generic, so we can expand it to other companies and industrie=
s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(Rushinek
and Rushinek, 2000, 2003). This study simulates fraud (SF) in the financial=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>statements.
This SF combines VF and FF into an MF. We regress, correlate and<o:p></o:p>=
</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>decompose
such an MF into its VF and FF components. We compare accounts, ratios,<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>periods
and companies. We regress a focus company with SFs on its PRG average<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(assumed
to be without the same MF). We apply RAT to ES software and then test the<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>hypothesis
that RAT can decompose MF and help in flagging the MF&#8217;s riskiest
financial<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ratios.
Eventually, the riskiest ratios will be part of the riskiest accounts.<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Applying
RAT, we decompose the MF into its VF and FF components. To<o:p></o:p></span=
></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>decompose
the MF, we regress it on sales. We define the FF as regression&#8217;s
intercept and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
VF as the regression&#8217;s slope. Using the least square regression, we
construct the MF<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>function.
We forecast sales as a function of serial date, testing this date as a
surrogate for<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sales,
whenever it is a good predictor of sales. We construct a statistically
significant<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fraud
model. This study calculates risk for analytical review diagnostics controls
for<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>automated
personal computer (PC) expert systems (ARES) based RAT. We integrate<o:p></=
o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>RAT
and the decomposition of this MF into the design of ARES, demonstrating som=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>8
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>rules,
screen and reports that will result from applying these ideas. By scanning
financial<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>statements
and their ratios and regressing them against the peers, averages the ARES<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>could
fire some rules. These rules will quantify the risk of the likelihood of ov=
er
or under<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>stating
balances of accounts, helping auditors plan their audit. We could use such =
risk<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>measures
to allocate audit time to accounts.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Likewise,
such fraud coefficients help the ARES prioritise its output and rate its<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>opinions
(related to problems in different accounts: phony sales ore receivable) from
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>most
to the least risky accounts. Thus, the ARES could minimise over loading the
user<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>with
reports that they cannot process. This way the users can limit the ARES to
report<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>only
on the top most risky accounts and/or ratios, or pages of reports. This will
relieve the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>users
from evaluating hundreds of accounts and ratios. This is especially true wh=
en
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>users
are not knowledgeable, do not have the resources to conduct such an evaluat=
ion,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
cannot set apriority the materiality level. This could facilitate the deplo=
yment
of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ARES
for inexperienced managers and auditors. Next, we would like to define the =
SF
and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>some
of its assumptions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2.6.3 ABC and cost and
management accounting theory (CMAT)<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Applying
ABC theories to fraud, we develop the ABF theory. ABF treats fraud as a cos=
t<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>that
we want to trace back to the activities that generate it, much like any cos=
t.
Except<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>that
for fraud, that unlike traditional costs, which we simply want to minimise,=
 we
want<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>to
completely eradicate and eliminate, approximating a zero level fraud. To
calculate the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>cost
effectiveness of fraud controls, we have to estimate it (since criminals ne=
ver
report<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>frauds
voluntarily &#8211; unlike other costs), decompose it, leading to the activ=
ity
sources. For<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>that
purpose, we deploy the RAT to trace the fraud back to its sources as a step=
 to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>eliminate
such fraud. Our unique contribution is going in &#8216;reverse&#8217; to
traditional auditing.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Instead
of going from the individual transactions to the financial statements, we g=
o in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>reverse,
from the financial statements trying to reconstruct fraudulent entries. Hen=
ce,
we<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>develop
the concept of RAT. Much like reversed engineering, RAT goes in reverse to =
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>common
sequence of accounting work. We test the hypothesis that RAT can construct =
a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>statistically
significant fraud function.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
deploy the CMAT and define VF, FF and MF, as well as develop software<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>integrity
controls. CMAT suggests that the slope of mixed cost (MC) regressed on the<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sales
denotes variable cost rate (VCR). Likewise, the intercept of MC regressed on
sales<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>estimates
the fixed cost (FC). Similarly, our dollar SF regressed on the sales has a
slope<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
an intercept. This slope shows the variable fraud rate (VFR), which is
analogous to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
VCR. Likewise, the intercept (of the SF on sales) shows the FF, analogous to
the FC.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>RAT
contends that whenever we are dealing with unknown fraud. Decomposing this<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fraud
(into its fixed and variable components) will be helpful in classifying its
behaviour<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
eventually pinpointing its sources.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>9<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>3 Fraud simulation (FS) defini=
tion<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3.1 fBarclays Bank PLC net s=
ales
&#8211; FS definition<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3.1.1 VF, FF and MF definiti=
on<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
10% SF of the net sales primary (1st) account is balanced against the SF of=
 the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>secondary
(2nd) balancing receivables account. The FF remains fixed starting from the=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>1st
period, 12/31/85, to the last period, 12/31/94, at $1,318,800 amount. We ha=
ve<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>calculated
dollar fraud amount as 10% higher of the 1st primary SF account or 1% of ne=
t<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sales.
Add the FF to the VF and you get the MF for the last year $2,637,600. Add t=
his
MF<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>to
the initial balance of the 1st account, real, rNET SALES balance $3,188,000,
for the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>last
period. You get the phony, fraudulent, balance of 1st account, fNET SALES,<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>$15,825,600.
Likewise, for the 2nd balancing account, start with the real balance,<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>rRECEIVABLES,
$115,356,000. Then, combine the SF, $2,637,600, and you get the<o:p></o:p><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>phony
balance of the fRECEIVABLES balancing that SF at $117,993,600. Our question=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>is
which ratio is this fraud&#8217;s top predictor?</span><span style=3D'font-=
size:
6.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>1<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3.2 fNET SALES fraud, why wo=
uld
criminals create it and what predicts it?<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
objective and the result of such a fraud may be the inflated net sales and
receivables,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>to
inflate gross profit and stock market values. However, this may not explain=
 why
a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>criminal
would do it in a certain way. We could understand the possible purpose of s=
uch<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>a
fraud by looking at the financial results. An fBarclays Bank PLC Executive
working in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
commercial banks industry (COB) may want to raise net income (reduce loss),
credit<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ratings,
commissions, or promote his or her reputation. For example, a fraud that<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>overstates
the sales balance, will in turn overstate the net income. Overstating net
income<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>will
make the company appear to be more profitable. Such an overstatement of the
sales<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
profitability of the company may benefit employees who own stock options,
and/or<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>commission
employees. An overstatement of sales may easily translate to a pay raise, f=
or<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>certain
employees. Misclassifying long term (LT) assets as current assets, can impr=
ove<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
credit rating of a company. However, such a fraud may not affect the income=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>statement
at all. We expect to find a ratio that can forecast such fraud.<o:p></o:p><=
/span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3.3 10% fNET SALES fraud:
account and amount<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>A
fraud perpetrator may prefer to misstate an account with a balance greater =
than
zero. It<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>is
possible, that overstating an account with a positive balance may appear a =
bit
easier to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>conceal,
compared to an account with a zero balance. In the case of fBarclays Bank P=
LC,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
the COB, the rNET SALES (r =3D real) account, is more likely to have a posi=
tive<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>balance,
compared to other companies and industries. An account such as cost of good=
s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>will
have a positive (debit) balance. Unlike some other accounts, such as invest=
ment<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>gains/losses,
this is equally likely to have either balance, positive (debit), negative<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(credit).
Likewise, it is most likely to have a zero balance in a non-banking or fina=
nce<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>environment.
Once we have picked up an account, the next question is concerning the<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>amount.
The criminal (the perpetrator of the fraud) may not know in advance what th=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>normal
balance of the account should be at all times. Therefore, a fraud that is a=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>percentage
of the real balance may appear safer (easier to conceal, automate and harde=
r to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>detect)
choice. Likewise, small percentages such as 10%, as used in the present cas=
e,
may<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>10
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>appear
to be safer than larger percentages. If the &#8216;criminals&#8217; got away
with the fraud for<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>one
period, their greed may lead them to try it repeatedly. Therefore, a
multi-period fraud<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>is
likely.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3.4 The real peer company rN=
ET
SALES (source account) and its phony (f)<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>partner</span></i><i><span
style=3D'font-size:6.5pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>2<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
common criminal would make a fraudulent entry, where the debit and the cred=
it
do<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>balance.
Accounting software may prevent unbalanced entries. Such entries may also b=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>too
obvious and too easy to detect. Therefore, to supplement the present fraudu=
lent
entry,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
criminal should make a balancing entry in other accounts that normally bala=
nce
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>source
account. Such an account could be the (focus company) fRECEIVABLES. Such<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>an
account normally couples the source account, in this environment. Furthermo=
re,
it is<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>not
as easily verifiable as the cash account, for example. Since it is much eas=
ier
to verify<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
balance of the cash account and to detect phony balances, the criminal may
prefer to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>use
accounts other than cash, for the phony entries. Likewise, auditors are usu=
ally
less<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>likely
to audit it as compared to the cash account. The peers (fraud free) less the
focus<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>company
balance is the fraud.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>RAT
will help us pinpoint the source of the fraud and estimate its damages. Thi=
s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>should
help us detect it, if we can possibly classify it correctly (variable versus
fixed).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>For
example, if the fraud positively correlates with sales, or varies
proportionately with<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
sales account, that gives us a clue as to which account actually contains t=
his
VF. Such<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>a
fraud most likely originates from sales itself, or one of its derivatives, =
such
as sales<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>commissions.
In contrast, we can more easily eliminate fraud sources that typically do<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>not
vary with sales, such as fixed assets and depreciation frauds of all kinds.=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3.5 Activity base cost/fraud
(ABC/F), short and long runs and regression<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>analysis<o:p></o:p></span></=
i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
developments in ABC since the late 1980s have improved accounting informati=
on<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>systems.
However, no one has ever applied ABC to fraud, which is the focus of the<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>current
study. Applying ABC to fraud produces ABF. The literature covers other<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>extensions
of ABC to management, or activity based management (ABM), but not to<o:p></=
o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ABF.
Hartnett and Lowry (1994) predict total cost for change in product mix. We =
are<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>also
trying to predict costs, except that we predict the cost of fraud damages a=
s a
function<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
fraud mix (VF, FF and MF). Holmen (1995) suggests that ABC has primarily a<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>long-run
horizon. Therefore, we apply it to long-run fraud estimation problems, frau=
ds<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>that
continue for one year and usually much longer. Macintosh (1994) suggests th=
at
in the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8216;scientific
ABC&#8217; method, the designer uses multivariate regression analysis.<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Hartnett
et al. (1994) confirm that ABC supplies better approximations of long-run<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>variable
costs. This is one of the reasons that we are focusing strictly on long-term
frauds.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Likewise,
we suspect that ABF may also lead to similar results; it may supply better<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>results
in the long run, rather than short run analysis. Even if we detect no mater=
ial
fraud,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>just
by estimating the fraud, we may reduce its damages by acting as a deterrent.
There<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>are,
however, obstacles to using ABF, much like ABC in reporting. Such obstacles=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>include
applying standards rather than actual values, subjectivity and verifiabilit=
y in
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>choice
of cost-drivers and ABC or ABF integration into the nominal ledger. We use =
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>pre-fraud
as surrogates of fraud free standards, normally based on competitors&#8217;=
 financial<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>11<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>statements.
The problem is that selecting proper competitors is subjective and may vary=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>greatly
depending on the industry, economy and other variables.<o:p></o:p></span></=
p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Pattison
and Arendt (1994) implemented a modified ABC system. We have modified<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ABC
so much that we have to rename it ABF. It is too different from ABC, to ret=
ain
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>same
name. Sheu and Wacker (1994) integrate time series forecasting and ABC
analysis.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Similarly,
we are doing the same thing. We also integrate time series into ABF. Datar =
and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Gupta
(1994) suggest that an ABC generates more accurate product costs than other=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>systems.
For a similar reason, we hope that ABF will generate more accurate fraud co=
st<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>estimates
than other systems. Groth and Kinney (1994) suggest ABC and cost driver<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>analysis
may reduce business risk, promoting value creation in a firm. Similarly, we=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>contend
that ABF and its cost drivers may help reduce fraud risk. In a counter sens=
e,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fraud
cost management not implemented properly result in an intensified eradicati=
on
of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>value.
These reasons attest to the importance of studying fraud costs in value
creation.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>This
may ultimately lead to a cost benefit analysis of fraud eradication investm=
ent.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3.6 ABF as a control for LT
fraud and as a function of sales<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Mak
and Roush (1994) argue that ABC controls costs. Likewise, we feel that ABF<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>controls.
Under one proposal, they formulate flexible budgets for each activity using=
 the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>cost
driver for that activity. We are using sales or some of the financial ratio=
s as
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>surrogate
cost drivers of the fraud in order to develop an estimation method. In the
future,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>we
may try other cost drivers. Smith (1994) extends ABC to a management context
and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>calls
it: ABM. Similarly, we extend ABC to ABF. Our extension is a bit less radic=
al
in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
sense that we can view fraud as a cost category, while management is a much
broader<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>concept
than cost alone. We all agree that most of the emphasis in the literature, =
thus
far,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>has
been on costs (ABC) and quality (total quality management). We also consider
other<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>areas
and factors. A time-based focus has a number of positive implications for t=
he<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>management
accountant in designing improved management information systems. This<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ensures
that decision-making is linked to an appropriate time horizon by matching s=
hort<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>run
and long run costs with decisions. For these reasons, we focus on the long =
run
in the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>current
model, reserving the short-run for future studies.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3.7 Literature of fraud,
damages, detection ES and disclosure<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>A
major problem in fraud detection is the lack of education on the part of th=
ose
who must<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>detect
it (Kerwin, 1995). Some early warning signs may be found by parsing financi=
al<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>statements
(Donlan, 1994). We combine an SF educational approach with parsing<o:p></o:=
p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
statements to find the best fraud predictor as warning signs in our ABF the=
ory.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Redirected
cash flows, the wrong receivables or the wrong disbursement location is a<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>common
early warning sign of a cash fraud (Marks; Arnette, 1994). Employees commit=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
overwhelming majority (90.8%). Although at a much lower rate, executive fra=
ud
is<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>only
26% (Campbell and Lindsay, 1994). Therefore, SF deals with an employee frau=
d,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>such
as a cash fraud. The Financial Fraud Detection and Disclosure Act, requires=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>exception
reporting when control systems fail, such as material financial frauds<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(Campbell
and Lindsay, 1994). Neural networks can help to find patterns and<o:p></o:p=
></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>relationships,
even obscure and nonlinear relationships (Stewart, 1994; Basch, 1994;<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Mayor,
1994). In our SF the relationships are fairly linear; therefore, we use lin=
ear<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>regression.
One way to combat management fraud involves analytical procedures (AP).<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t3]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>confirm
the year of publication (whether<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>1994
or 1995). Reference entry: Smith,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>M.
(1995) &#8216;Bottleneck management&#8217;,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Management Accounting</span>=
</i><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>, Vol. 73, No. 3,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>pp.26&#8211;28.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t4]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t5]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t6]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t7]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t8]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t9]: <=
/span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t10]: =
</span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t11]: =
</span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>12
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Quantitative
APs alone will not detect fraud; they simply signal the likelihood of a<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>problem
(Calderon and Green, 1994). This is where our model comes in. Our model<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>actually
estimates the dollar damage of the fraud, after the AP signalled a high
likelihood<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
a problem (Rushinek and Rushinek, 1997, 2001).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif"'>Comment [t12]: =
</span></b><span
style=3D'font-size:7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>Author: Please<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provide
full reference or delete from the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
7.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>text
if not required.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>4 Overview and definition of
problems<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
problem is that we do not know how to eradicate and prevent fraud. In addit=
ion,
we<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>do
not know even how to estimate fraud and how to trace its sources, which may=
 be
a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>prerequisite
to prevention. Estimating fraud and tracing it back to its initial transact=
ion
is<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
focus of this study. To find the initial fraudulent transaction we developed
the RAT.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>RAT
states that, unlike ordinary accounting, where we start from individual
transactions<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
conclude with summarised financial reports, the reversal may be more effect=
ive
for<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fraud
estimation and definition. Thus, RAT starts from the summarised financial
reports,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>which
may be conceal fraudulent transactions, concluding with estimating the valu=
e of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
fraud and defining the fraudulent transaction.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>To
define the culprit transaction, we use the %DFR, such as the dollar sales p=
er<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>employee
or quick ratio, instead of the original accounts, such as cash or inventory.
There<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>are
some advantages to using %DFR instead of using the original accounts. There=
 are<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fewer
%DFRs (dozens) compared to the original accounts (hundreds). The process of=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>eliminating
the irrelevant suspects is easier. The %DFR are much more standardised and<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>uniform
across times-series, companies and industries, than the original accounts<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>themselves.
The relative (percentage) unit of measurement is more comparable than the<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>original
unit of measurement (inter or intra company or industry or currency compari=
sons<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
$ sales per employee to the quick ratio)<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Our
accuracy of spotting and forecasting the existence of frauds is
&#8216;extremely good&#8217;<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(Fanning
et al., 1995; Coates and Fant, 1991). Likewise, we know what the red flags =
that<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>indicate
perpetrated frauds are (see Pincus, 1987). This sounds sufficient to scare
auditors<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>about
being held liable for not reporting the fraud (AICPA, 1988). Yet, such
indications<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>are
much too vague to enable auditors, prosecutors, or managers to pinpoint the
fraud.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
still do not know how to estimate that fraud, what activity generates such
frauds and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>which
transaction initiates such fraud. We think that if we can figure out the
activity that<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>generates
the fraud, we should be closer to tracking the fraudulent transaction and<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>eventually
the culprits themselves. For that we propose an ABF theory.<o:p></o:p></spa=
n></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
view fraud as a cost item. Fraud is certainly not a revenue item, nor is it=
 a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>liability,
assets or an equity item. Therefore, it is most similar to cost items, even=
 in
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sense
that we are undoubtedly trying to minimise fraud (at least in theory). In f=
act,
fraud<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>may
be the oldest cost, from biblical times, yet we do not estimate and account=
 for
it like<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>any
other cost. Fraud is currently the leading cause and cost of auditing
litigation<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(Palmrose,
1991; St Pierre and Anderson, 1994). Auditors have changed the way they<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>operate
due to the increase of litigation (O&#8217;Malley, 1993; Elgin, 1992; Fuerm=
an,
1992).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Auditors
charge escalating fees to fund such litigation risk.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Based
on ABC theories, every cost originates from some activity. Such activity is=
 the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>cost
driver, which are among the best cost predictors. Therefore, if we can treat
fraud like<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>any
other cost, we may apply ABC to fraud. Like any other cost, certain activit=
ies<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>produce
fraud. Therefore, it only follows that like any other cost, every fraud may
have<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>13<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>its
own drivers, which are its best predictors. We try to develop a method of
identifying<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>these
drivers for specific types of fraud, using ABC methods.<o:p></o:p></span></=
p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Unlike
any other costs that are legal, fraud is illegal. Therefore, we cannot simp=
ly
use<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>traditional
transaction-to-financial reports accounting. Thus, we deploy the RAT<o:p></=
o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>approach
and combine it with ABC. From this, we create the activity base fraud (ABF)=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>theory.
ABF states that if we can find the BP%DFR, we will be further along the way=
 of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>estimating
the fraud, its drivers and eventually it original culprits. Furthermore, by
just<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>deploying
ABF, it may act as a deterrent to fraud. Just as we are using standards to =
cost<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
unknown overheads, we may eventually also use standards to cost the unknown=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>frauds.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
have some red flags that fire up whenever the likelihood of multi-year fraud
rises.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Others
have clearly defined such flags (discussed above), so that not only an audi=
tor<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>could
use it, but also a computer base ES could use it, while it is emulating an
auditor.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Our
current objective is one step further, to estimate the amount of the fraud =
and
its<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>original
transaction or activity that created that transaction.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>For
this purpose, we have simulated multiple frauds (SF) on the financial
statements<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
this company. The SFs include increasing net income over the last few years.
Thus for<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>example,
we could have overstated sales and understated all the expenses by 10% of t=
heir<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>values.
At the same time we have also entered a balancing entry, so that the debit =
and
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>credit
remain balanced and do not obviate the frauds.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
have then benchmarked the SF company against its own financial ratios prior=
 to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
SF. We use that to emulate how a real fraud ridden company may compare to i=
ts<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>peers,
which are not involved in the same type of frauds. This way we hope to iden=
tify
a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>methodology
of spotting red flags and patterns to detect and deter fraud.<o:p></o:p></s=
pan></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>4.1 Overview of banking indu=
stry<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>At
the nation&#8217;s 11,970 FDIC-insured institutions, total assets grew $84
billion from<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>September
30 to December 31, compared to growth of $90 billion during the fourth<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>quarter
of 1994. Fourth-quarter asset growth was funded to a greater extent by depo=
sits
in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>1995
than in 1994. Total deposits increased $96 billion during the fourth quarte=
r of
1995,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>with
most of this growth occurring in domestic deposits at commercial banks, whi=
ch
were<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>up
$91 billion. In 1994&#8217;s fourth quarter, by comparison, total deposits
increased $70<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>billion,
including just $42 billion in domestic deposit growth (Helfer, 1995).<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
reserve ratio of the Bank Insurance Fund (BIF) was 1.30% of insured deposit=
s on<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>December
31, down nominally from 1.31% on September 30 but still above the statutory=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>minimum
of 1.25%. The reserve ratio of the Savings Association Insurance Fund (SAIF=
)<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>rose
from 0.43% to 0.47% during the fourth quarter but remains far below the tar=
get
level<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
1.25%. As a result of the BIF&#8217;s full capitalisation, the FDIC was abl=
e to
reduce BIF<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>assessment
rates twice in the latter half of 1995. The average BIF assessment rate fel=
l<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>from
23.3 cents per $100 of assessable deposits to just 0.4 cents (effective Jan=
uary
1,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>1996),
improving the attractiveness of BIF-assessable deposits relative to other
funding<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>alternatives.
Because SAIF assessment rates cannot be lowered significantly until the<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fund
is fully <span class=3DSpellE>capitalised</span>, the average assessment ra=
te for
SAIF members remains at<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>23.7
cents per $100.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>14
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>1
This premium disparity between the BIF and the SAIF may partially explain
deposit<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>growth
patterns in 1995. Deposits assessable by the BIF grew $110 billion (4.6%)<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>during
1995, with $83 billion of the increase coming in the fourth quarter. Deposi=
ts<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>assessable
by the SAIF grew $20 billion (2.8%) in 1995 but decreased, by less than<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>$1
billion, in the fourth quarter.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>2
Other factors, such as loan demand, also may affect deposit growth patterns=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(Helfer,
1995).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>4.2 Barclays Bank company
profile<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Group
profit before tax improved by 1,198 m as a result of a decline in provisions
for bad<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
doubtful debts. Of this reduction, 856 m occurred in the UK, where new gros=
s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>specific
provisions were 791 m and 309 m in the USA, where new gross specific<o:p></=
o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>provisions
were 97m. Although falling significantly, non-performing lending remained a=
t<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>a
high level, particularly in regard to the UK property, construction, hotel =
and
leisure<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sectors.
As a consequence of work that is being undertaken to improve the assessment=
 of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>credit
and credit losses throughout the business, the general allowance to cover<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>unidentified
bad debts has been increased by 74 m to 850 m (Barclays, 1994b).<o:p></o:p>=
</span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Profit
before tax showed a significant improvement over the two previous years as<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>budget
debt provisions fell, helped by releases in the UK and the rest of Europe. =
The<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>reduction
in provisions was achieved despite one large corporate provision of 65 m in=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Europe
and further provisions in Canada (Barclays, 1994b).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>4.3 Future of Barclays Bank
Company<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
trust company profit for the year was adversely affected by an ongoing<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span class=3DSpellE=
><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>reorganisation</span></span><span style=3D'font-size:9.0=
pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>
process, the result of which will be to improve efficiency and customer<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>service
in the future. Most of the group&#8217;s trading activities are customer
oriented. In<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>anticipation
of future customer demand, the group maintains access to market liquidity b=
y<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>quoting
bid and offer prices with other market makers and carries an inventory of
capital<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>market
instruments including a variety of derivative and non-derivative (or
&#8216;cash&#8217;)<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
instruments. Positions are also taken in the interest rate, foreign exchang=
e,
debt,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>equity
and commodity markets based on expectations of future market conditions. Th=
ese<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>activities
constitute the proprietary trading business of the group. Given the
relationships<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>between
instruments and markets, trading strategies depend on both market-making an=
d<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>proprietary
positions and are managed in concern in order to maximise trading related<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>revenue.
Trading positions and any offsetting hedges are established as appropriate =
to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>accommodate
customer or group requirements (Barclays, 1994a).<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>15<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>5 Methods and procedures, data
analysis and interpretation<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>5.1 Data definition, input a=
nd
output of regression analysis theories<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>5.1.1 Differenced financial
ratios (DFR) measure fraud impact and identify<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>fraud insensitive ratios<o:p=
></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
download the company profile, annual report and financial ratios from the
disclosure<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>database
and then upload them into our fraud simulator spreadsheet software <span
class=3DSpellE>programme</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(the
<span class=3DSpellE>programme</span>). The <span class=3DSpellE>programme<=
/span>
recalculates all these financial ratios verifying their<o:p></o:p></span></=
p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>values
and extending their decimal point. Then the <span class=3DSpellE>programme<=
/span>
applies the SF to the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>recalculated
and verified annual report, producing a second set of phony fraudulent<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span class=3DSpellE=
><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>fAnnual</span></span><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>
reports. The <span class=3DSpellE>programme</span> inputs the <span class=
=3DSpellE>fAnnual</span>
reports to the financial ratio<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>calculation
and produces a second set of phony fraudulent financial ratios. The differe=
nce<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>between
the 1st real financial ratios and the second fraudulent financial ratio
produces the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>DFR.
Such DFR measures the effects of a fraud on that particular ratio. If the D=
FR
equals<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>zero,
then we can conclude that a particular fraud does not affect it. Likewise, =
if
the DFR<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
another ratio also equals zero, then we can conclude that like the 1st rati=
o,
the same<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fraud
does not affect the second ratio. Thus, both ratios are insensitive to this
fraud. The<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>DFR
is only comparable when it is zero. When it is different than zero, we cann=
ot
use it<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>effectively
for comparisons.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>5.1.2 Fraud damage cost
estimating software <span class=3DSpellE>programme</span> (FDCESP) and<o:p>=
</o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>DFR/%DFR two stages<o:p></o:=
p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Due
to the difficulty that computers have in calculating divisions by zero, it =
is
sometimes<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>necessary
to initially use a measure like DFR. In developing an FDCESP we have to be<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>considering
such issues. Since we want to extended current ES technology with such an<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>FDCESP
system, we have to consider machine difficulties. Furthermore, since we<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>typically
want to minimise computer resources and maximise efficiency, we would use<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>DFR
as well as %DFR. We have to calculate DFR before we can calculate %DFR.<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Therefore,
we will also use it in our FDCESP development as a two stage process. The<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span class=3DSpellE=
><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>programme</span></span><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>
will first calculate and use DFR, if it can choose the most sensitive ratio=
. If
it<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>can
decide at this stage, it can then store its decisions in a case based reaso=
ning<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>knowledge
base (CBEKB). The <span class=3DSpellE>programme</span> needs to go no furt=
her.
It does not need to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>calculate
%DFR. This may be a case where the DFR will be zero, anyway. Therefore, we<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>do
not need to calculate %DFR for a decision. Furthermore, the attempt to
calculate it<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>may
result in a division by zero error, creating all kinds of problems.<o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>5.1.3 Case based reasoning
knowledge base (CBEKB) and ES<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>In
this context, a CBEKB is a data base of fraud cases and its related decisio=
ns.
Such<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>CBEKB
can be a part of an ES that issues fraud detection, damage estimation,<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>investigation
and prevention opinions (Rushinek and Rushinek, 1993, 2007, 2008). Such<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>opinions
will rely on a cost benefit analysis comparing the benefits of fraud damage=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>reduction
to its costs. This is where FDCESP integration fits. For a system like this=
 to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>work,
identifying a few best predictors of fraud value could be very useful. Thes=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>variables
will be the BP%DFR.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>16
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>5.1.4 BP%DFR flags fraud
patterns<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>BP%DFR
variables will estimate the dollar (or other currency) value of damages. Su=
ch<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>analysis
should be done when existing ES predict that the financial statements do
contain<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fraud,
and the main question is which kind of fraud is it? Is it a credit sales and
fixed<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>assets
fraud? Is it a credit sales and accounts receivable fraud? This is where
various<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>BP%DFR
can red flag the various types of frauds that may be present. As we can<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>reasonably
expect, different ratios will become BP%DFR for different types of fraud. F=
or<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>example,
if the fraud pattern appears to have fixed values over time, then it may be=
 a
FF.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>It
is more likely to originate in fixed assets accounts rather than in a sales
commission<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>account.
In contrast to FF, a VF is more likely to originate in a sales commission
account<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>or
may be in a direct <span class=3DSpellE>labour</span> cost type of account.
Likewise, an MF may be split over both<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>types
of accounts, etc. Furthermore, this BP%DFR will estimate the total dollar
amount<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
the fraud telling us how many resources will it justify and most importantly
which<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>accounts
are the culprits.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>5.1.5 Regressing fraud value=
s on
BP%DFR<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Regressing
fraud values on BP%DFR will help build a model to estimating fraud values.<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>To
set up the data for such a regression analysis, we split the data into two
parts. The first<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>part
constitutes the pre-fraud condition. Naturally, for these observations, the
independent<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>predictor
variables, the BP%DFR, as well as the dependent predicted variable, the fra=
ud<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>values,
are both zeros. In an experimental simulation, that is certainly true. This=
 is
saying<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>that
if no fraud what so ever exists, then the pre-fraud and the post-fraud rati=
os
will be the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>same.
Thus, the BP%DFR, as well as all other differenced ratios, must equal zero.=
 In<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>contrast,
in the real world, if no fraud what so ever exists, then the peer review
company,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>or
companies and industry averages (like pre-fraud, free fraud) and the focus
company<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(like
the post-fraud, fraud ridden) ratios will not necessarily be the same. Howe=
ver,
they<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>may
approximate identity, if the peers are almost identical to the focus compan=
y.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Although,
identity between a focus company and its peers is very unrealistic conditio=
n,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>there
are ways to approximate such condition, by statistical and mathematical mea=
ns.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Such
methods are beyond the scope of the present study, however, we will discuss
them<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>briefly
later and in future studies. The second part of these observations will
typically be<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>different
than zero. These two parts will make up two parallel time series, first is =
time<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>series
without fraud and the second one with fraud. Using these two sets of time
series in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>parallel,
makes this analysis a cross sectional and time series regression analysis.<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>5.2 Data input for the
regression analysis: its empirical aspects<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>5.2.1 Net sales/total assets=
 top
Barclays Bank PLC predictor ratio</span></i><i><span style=3D'font-size:6.5=
pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNe=
wRomanPS-ItalicMT'>3<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>For
the top predictor, X1 BP%DFR, X1 =3D net sales/total assets, we compute the=
 2nd
part<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
the positive fraud observations, as follows. Following are steps that calcu=
late
some of<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
predictor variables&#8217; values, such as X1, X2, etc. We start with the f=
irst
variable, X1.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
fraudulent, phony, fNET SALES/TOTAL ASSETS has a value of 0.13049. In<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>contrast,
the real, rNET SALES/TOTAL ASSETS, has a value of 0.10669. To difference,<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>one
needs to deduct the fraudulent from the real balance. The difference can be=
 the
gain<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>in
NET SALES/TOTAL ASSETS of 22.307620%. This percentage loss (&#8211;) or gain
(+) in<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
ratio due to the fraud is the value of X1, the 1ST BP%DFR independent predi=
ctor<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>17<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>variable.
Applying the same process to SG&amp;A/SALES, and NET SALES/EMPLOYEES,<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>you
calculate X2 =3D SG&amp;A/SALES and X3 =3D NET SALES/EMPLOYEES, the additio=
nal<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>BP%DFRs.
Calculate the dependent predicted variable, Y =3D NET SALES, as the MF,<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sum
of FF and VF and you are ready to regress it on the BP%DFRs.<o:p></o:p></sp=
an></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
MFCF is calculated by regressing VF, FF and MF on net sales. Start with VF.=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
classify such a VFCF as a case of pure VC definition. Continue with FF. The=
 FF<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>regression
has an intercept of $1,318,800.00 and a Slope of 0.00%. We classify such a<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>FFCF
as a pure FF definition. Proceed with MF. The MF regression has an RS of 1,=
 an<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>intercept
of $1,318,800.00 and a slope of 10.00%. We classify this MFCF as a pure MF<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>definition.
Now, instead of regressing the sum, MF =3D VF + FF, try adding the intercep=
ts<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
slopes of the separate VF and FF regression, producing a 2nd redundant, but=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>independently
calculated intercept and slope. Deduct the independently calculated<o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>intercepts
and slope.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Theoretically,
for a pure VF definition, the intercept should be a perfect zero, but that<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>may
change due to rounding errors. A gross VF definition may cause an error, if=
 we<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>define
the VF as a percentage of a primary account (not perfectly correlated with =
net<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sales).
Such an account may be LT assets. The FF should be the exact complement<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(mirror
image) of the VF, a slope of zero and an intercept that is positive. At the
same<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>time,
the VF should have the opposite values, zero intercept and a positive slope.
Their<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>sum,
MF, should have both positive intercept and slope. Likewise, we made MFCF b=
y<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>combining
the separately regressed VF and FF. These two functions (VF and FF) should<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>have
the same two regression parameters (intercept and slope). Much like, the si=
ngle<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>MFCS
regression, it should also have an intercept and slope. These redundant
calculation<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>controls
demonstrate how to promote software integrity. Classify and decomposing fra=
ud<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>into
its parts will help detect, measure and ultimately minimise fraud damages.<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
RS shows the statistical quality of this model, which we will discuss later.
Such<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>MFCF
can estimate fraud prevention benefits. It traps error by comparing actual =
and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>expected
results. Thus, the growth rate and variance of FF should be zero. If it ind=
eed
is<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>zero,
then we may have avoided this error. In this case, these error values are e=
qual
to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>0.00%.
Even if it is not zero, it may be due to an immaterial error such as a roun=
ding<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>error,
or an error in the database. This is beyond the scope of this study.</span>=
<span
style=3D'font-size:6.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>4<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ES
exemplify regressions&#8217; rules. The ES can regress the estimated fraud
values<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(estimated
by our model) on the NET SALES account of the focus company. If the<o:p></o=
:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>regression
is significant, then the ES may reach some tentative conclusions, about the=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>possibility
of fraud. This can be true, if it turns out to be a case of a pure definiti=
on
of VF,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>FF
and MF. The ES further reinforces its conclusion that fraud may exist,
estimating its<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>CF
structure, dollar estimates and probabilities. More analysis needs to be us=
ed
to further<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>reinforce
such suspicions and eventually come up with an explanation to the fraud. ES=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>show
that explanations to the VF can include: 10% inflated net sales and
receivables, to<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>increase
gross profit and raise stock market values. Our methods may help ES calcula=
te<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>risks
and correctly interpret them. Are the ratios correct? At this point one can=
not
be sure<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>if
there is a fraud or not. This ES tests itself, using a value and sign test =
as
internal<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>controls
of integrity and reliability.</span><span style=3D'font-size:6.0pt;font-fam=
ily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>5<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>18
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>6 Summary output for Barclays =
Bank
PLC</span></b><b><span style=3D'font-size:6.5pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanP=
S-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>6<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
regression statistics sub-analysis contains the three parts. The 1st part is
the multiple<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>R,
0.999845. The second part is the lower RS, R**2, value of 0.99969. The third
part,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>following
the RS is the even lower adjusted R-square (ARS) of 0.999632. Multiple R is=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
correlation between the predicted and the actual values of the focus compan=
y,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Barclays
Bank PLC, the coefficient of correlation. These correlate the actual and th=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>forecasted
values of this SF.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>6.1 Bank ES rules</span></i>=
<i><span
style=3D'font-size:6.5pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>7<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>This
regression analysis helps ES form patterns of rules for fraud classificatio=
n.
The ES<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>will
apply such rules to a suspicious bank, to classify its fraud. We will form =
the
ES rule<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>in
a step by step fashion as we discuss the output 0.999632. Following is the =
1st<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>component
of this rule, dealing with RS:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>For
the regression of the differenced account on the DFR:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>If
the Industry is equal to This Industry and the Suspicious Company R-Square =
is
Equal<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>To<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Less
than the upper bound of R**2: 0.99969, And<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Greater
Than the Lower bound of ARS: 0.999632 , And </span><span style=3D'font-size=
:8.0pt;
font-family:Wingdings-Regular;mso-bidi-font-family:Wingdings-Regular'><span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;</span><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>In
practice this will be one large rule, for simplicity we break it into its
components.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Arrow
heads indicate </span><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:Wingdings-=
Regular;
mso-bidi-font-family:Wingdings-Regular'><span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;&nbsp;</span></span><span style=3D'font-si=
ze:9.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>that
the rule continues. A banking knowledge base system<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(KBS)
will store these rules.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>6.2 Multiple R (R) &#8211;
internal software control, the sum of square (SS) and beta<o:p></o:p></span=
></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>values<o:p></o:p></span></i>=
</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>If
the multiple R is equal to one, then a change in the value of X, the
independent<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>predictor
variable, the BP%DFR predicts the dependent predicted variable, the focus<o=
:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>company,
Barclays Bank PLC BP%DFR, perfectly well. Otherwise, multiple R is<o:p></o:=
p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>different
from one, and the prediction is less than perfect. The present multiple R o=
f<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>0.999845
tells us that there is relatively strong linear relationship. The independe=
nt<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>variables
(the BP%DFR of Barclays) and the COB industry estimate the SF very well.<o:=
p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>This
means that if the BP%DFR increases, then the SF is also very likely to incr=
ease
as<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>well,
in this sample of data. If this is statistically significant, it may apply =
to
other<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>samples.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>6.3 RS: variance in the SF
explained by the financial ratios<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Unfortunately,
we cannot interpret R in more precise terms, since it is not equal to one.<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
RS, the coefficient of determination, may help us determine the meaning of =
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>relationship
of the population more precisely. ES would typically apply such relationshi=
p<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>to
the population of cases.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
multiple R (R), 0.999845 squared is equal to, RS, 0.99969. The RS should be=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>lower
than R, because we square a fraction. If RS is equal or larger than R, we m=
ost<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>likely
have an error. The RS is the coefficient of determination. The RS shows how=
 the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>19<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>independent
variable determines the dependent variable. The independent (predictor)<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>variables
are some ratios, the BP%DFR. In contrast, the SF is the dependent (predicte=
d)<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>variable.
R shows that BP%DFR predicts the SF (in the focus company) very well, close=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>enough
to 100%. This way ES estimate fraud damage as a function of such BP%DFR, fo=
r<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>a
cost benefit analysis.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>6.4 The ARS: a function of t=
he R
and the number of observations<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
ARS, 0.999632 is lower than both the multiple R and the RS.</span><span
style=3D'font-size:6.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-f=
ont-family:
TimesNewRomanPSMT'>8 </span><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Tim=
esNewRomanPSMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>We adjust the ARS for<o:p></o:p></s=
pan></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
degrees of freedom (<span class=3DSpellE>df</span>). The number of observat=
ions,
20, determines the <span class=3DSpellE>df</span>. This<o:p></o:p></span></=
p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ARS
tempers the strength of the R, which may be unrealistically high, especiall=
y if
we<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>have
a small number of observations. To avoid overstating the strength of RS, we=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>calculate
the ARS. This difference between the RS and ARS will shrink as we increase<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
number of observations. We split these observations into two parts. The 1st
half (ten<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>observations)
includes zero values of both the predictor financial ratios, BP%DFR and<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
predicted SFs. These zero values represent no difference in financial ratio=
s in
the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>absence
of fraud. Thus, the difference between the fraudulent and the real financial
ratios,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>as
well as the SF <span class=3DGramE>itself</span> is all equal to zero. The =
second
half shows the differences in the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>financial
ratios that explain the SF. In contrast to the origin values of zero, these
later ten<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>observations
will usually differ from zero. Otherwise, we may not have simulated a<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fraud;
we know this by definition and design.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>7 ANOVA: testing the utility of
the model<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
difference between the RS and ARS will shrink as we increase the number of<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>observations.
If such differences exist, then, the ANOVA portion will explain them.<o:p><=
/o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Specifically,
the SSE [sum of squared (SS, column) error or residual (row)], that is much=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>greater
than zero, explain some such differences. In our case, the value of SS resi=
dual
is<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>1.1E
+ 10, which is very small and very close to zero, explaining the proximity =
of
RS and<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>ARS.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
ANOVA helps us evaluate the utility of the entire model. It tests individua=
l<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>coefficients
allowing us to conclude that a linear relationship between the independent<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
the dependent variables exists. The ANOVA decomposes the variability of the=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>dependent
variable, The emulate fraud, measured by SS total, 3.55E + 13 into its<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>components,
the regression SS, 3.55E + 13 and the residual part, 1.1E + 10. If the SSR<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>(regression)
is large relatively to the SSE (residual), the RS is high &#8211; signifyin=
g a
good fit<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
a good model, as is our present case. A value of F, 17225.41, shows the
significance<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>of
the model. This F value is statistically significant at the 0.05 level. This
means that the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>BP%DFR,
Xs independent variables, explain the variation in Y dependent variable, th=
e<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>SF
dollar amount for Barclays Bank PLC. Therefore, the model is useful for
estimating<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
cost for this kind of fraud damages.</span><span style=3D'font-size:6.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>9<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>8 ANOVA predictors-test of the
intercept constant and the beta slope(s)<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
test of the intercept and/or individual beta coefficients allows us to deci=
de
about the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>linearity
assumption. We decide whether a linear relationship exists between the<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>20
</span><i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-Itali=
cMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>A. Rushinek and S. Rushinek<=
o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>independent
predictor financial ratios and their predicted dependent variable, the SF i=
n<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
focus company, Barclays Bank PLC. Consequently, we perform the t-test for t=
he<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>intercept
constant, &#8211;13.1994 and the predictor beta value for Barclays Bank PLC=
 is<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8211;1E
+ 07. Our test criterion is the P-value.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>To
evaluate the statistical significance of the intercept coefficient,
&#8211;13.1994, we<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>compare
it to its standard error. The standard err column, 8,288.838, for the
intercept,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>along
with the relatively small differences between the t-stat and the P-value
columns,<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>&#8211;0.00159
and 0.998749, confirm our notion from the theory. We cannot reject the null=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>hypothesis,
since this P-value, of 0.998749, is greater or equal to 0.05. Thus, we cann=
ot<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>reject
the null hypothesis, that the intercept value is zero, concluding that it is
zero, when<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>the
value of the other variables is also zero. Namely, in the absence of any
differences<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>among
the financial ratios the model assumes no fraud. Therefore, the focus and t=
he
peer<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>companies
(DFR equal zero), at the origin, the forecasted fraud (intercept) must also=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>equal
zero. However, if we are farther away from the origin, the intercept can be
used<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>together
with the other variables and then the entire model is statistically signifi=
cant
at the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>0.05
level, as the ANOVA demonstrated. Thus, the origin and its vicinity are out=
side
our<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>relevant
range. When we apply this model, we know that the fraud is greater than zer=
o.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>8.1 ES form patterns of rules
for ANOVA and intercept&#8217;s upper and lower<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>bounds<o:p></o:p></span></i>=
</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Using
the ANOVA bounds of the Intercept, the ES can continue forming the rules as=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>follows:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:Wingdings-Regular;mso-bidi-font-family:Wingdings-Regular'=
><span
style=3D'mso-spacerun:yes'>&nbsp;</span></span><span style=3D'font-size:8.0=
pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>If
The ANOVA is statistically significant at the 5% level, &amp; The Suspiciou=
s<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Company&#8217;s
Intercept is:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Less
Than Intercept Coefficient Upper 95% Bound Of: 17558.35, And<o:p></o:p></sp=
an></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Greater
Than Intercept Coefficient Lower 95% Bound Of:-17584.7, And =3D=3D&gt;<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Expert
Systems (ES) Form Patterns Of Rules For Predictor (Independent) Variables: =
The<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>X1-3
Coefficients Or Slopes, &amp; Their 95% Upper And Lower Confidence Interval
(CI)<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Bounds<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>We
will plug the X1-3 coefficients or slopes of the variables in the final
regression<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>equation.
To complete the regression equation we need the residual. Therefore, we wil=
l<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>do
that in the after the residual output analysis. In the meantime, we can
complete the<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>fraud
pattern ES rule, using the 95% upper and lower bounds of this variable toge=
ther<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>with
the RS and the intercept, as follows:<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>=3D&gt;
the 1st Best Predictor is: X1 =3D NET SALES/TOTAL ASSETS , And<o:p></o:p></=
span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>its
Coefficient (Slope) value is Greater Than 95% lower Bound of: -1.5E+07;<o:p=
></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
2nd Best Predictor is: X2 =3D SG &amp; A/SALES (same as above but for X2 Bo=
unds),
And<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
8.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>The
3rd Best Predictor is X3 =3D NET SALES/EMPLOYEES<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>Then
it is most likely due to a: 10% inflated net sales and receivables to incre=
ase
gross<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>profit
and stock market value type of the perpetrated fraud.<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>At
this point, the ES will also fire an explanation as to support its decision
(Rushinek<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>and
Rushinek, 2001).</span><span style=3D'font-size:6.0pt;font-family:"TimesNew=
RomanPSMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>10 </span><span style=3D'font-size:=
9.0pt;
font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanP=
SMT'>To
complete the calculation of the estimated fraud, we need to<o:p></o:p></spa=
n></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>include
the residual value, in addition to the values of the financial ratios. Thus=
, we
will<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><i><span
style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-ItalicMT'>Uncooking the books from tox=
ic
paper sub-prime mortgages </span></i><span style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-fa=
mily:
"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPSMT'>21<o:p>=
</o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>replace
the X symbols by their values, and add the residual to the sum, that should=
<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>produce
the SF in a given year. In contrast to the insignificant intercept, the slo=
pes
are all<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>significant.
Thus, we reject the null hypothesis that the slopes are all equal to zero. =
We<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>can
plug our parameters into the model after we figure out the residual value.<=
o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><b><span
style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT","serif";
mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNewRomanPS-BoldMT'>9 Conclusions<o:p></o:p></span=
></b></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>This
study develops a &#8216;finger print&#8217; definition for a specific class=
 of
frauds, with a<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>specific
rate, for the banking industry. The regression parameters define parts of t=
he
fraud<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-=
height:
normal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none'><span style=3D'font-=
size:
9.0pt;font-family:"TimesNewRomanPSMT","serif";mso-bidi-font-family:TimesNew=
RomanPSMT'>finger
print. Some of these parameters include such variables as the upper and low=
er<o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3D